NCAA Tournament March Madness

#49 Boise St

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Projection: likely out

Boise State’s body of work is built on a few eye-catching wins and a defense that often keeps them in every game, illustrated by a neutral win over Saint Mary’s and a resume-building road victory at Butler alongside solid results against Wichita State and Montana State, but it also contains damaging road setbacks such as trips to Nevada and San Diego State and a neutral defeat to USC that underscore inconsistency away from home. The offense has struggled to close out tight affairs, which has magnified those poor results, so the remaining conference slate becomes the real barometer: home dates with Grand Canyon and New Mexico and a stretch of winnable league games give them a chance to shore up the profile while road trips to Utah State and Colorado State and another meeting with Grand Canyon are opportunities to prove they can win the kind of neutral and true road contests that committees prize.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8Utah Valley97W101-77
11/11UTRGV218W85-65
11/15Montana St156W62-58
11/18Wichita St93W62-59
11/24(N)USC40L70-67
11/25(N)NC State32L81-70
12/6@Butler54W77-68
12/10Duquesne131W86-64
12/14(N)St Mary's CA28W68-67
12/20@Nevada72L81-66
12/30New Mexico59W62-53
1/3@San Diego St50L110-107
1/6Grand Canyon10180%
1/7Grand Canyon10180%
1/10Utah St3049%
1/13@UNLV13669%
1/16Colorado St8071%
1/20@Wyoming10361%
1/24Air Force33499%
1/27@San Jose St19481%
1/30@Grand Canyon10160%
2/3Nevada7270%
2/7@New Mexico5944%
2/13UNLV13686%
2/18@Utah St3028%
2/21San Jose St19493%
2/24Wyoming10380%
2/28@Fresno St16476%
3/3San Diego St5061%
3/7@Colorado St8050%