NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Boise St

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#44 Boise St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: first four out

Boise State presents a clear identity to the selection committee: a defense that keeps the team competitive and a résumé punctuated by resume-building wins such as the road victory at Butler and a notable nonconference triumph over Wichita State, while narrow neutral losses to USC and NC State show they can hang with high-major opposition but did not secure a marquee signature. Offensive inconsistency has produced a run of close outcomes rather than decisive statements, so the team avoids any glaring bad losses but also lacks the volume of important road and neutral victories that separate comfortable bids from tentative ones. Remaining opportunities at San Diego State and New Mexico along with home showdowns with Utah State and Colorado State and a neutral test against St. Mary’s give Boise State concrete chances to flip its profile, and the committee will weight how those results come in the places that matter most.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/8	Utah Valley	85	W101-77
11/11	UTRGV	187	W85-65
11/15	Montana St	164	W62-58
11/18	Wichita St	89	W62-59
11/24	(N)USC	35	L70-67
11/25	(N)NC State	28	L81-70
12/6	@Butler	47	W77-68
12/10	Duquesne	146	89%
12/14	(N)St Mary's CA	32	43%
12/20	@Nevada	87	57%
12/30	New Mexico	78	73%
1/3	@San Diego St	46	40%
1/6	Grand Canyon	102	80%
1/7	Grand Canyon	102	80%
1/10	Utah St	41	57%
1/13	@UNLV	132	71%
1/16	Colorado St	59	68%
1/20	@Wyoming	97	60%
1/24	Air Force	330	99%
1/27	@San Jose St	184	82%
1/30	@Grand Canyon	102	61%
2/3	Nevada	87	77%
2/7	@New Mexico	78	52%
2/13	UNLV	132	87%
2/18	@Utah St	41	35%
2/21	San Jose St	184	93%
2/24	Wyoming	97	79%
2/28	@Fresno St	173	80%
3/3	San Diego St	46	62%
3/7	@Colorado St	59	46%