NCAA Tournament March Madness

#159 Fresno St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fresno State’s résumé reads like a team with quality flashes and self-inflicted wounds: eye-catching nonconference victories, including a comfortable win over Long Beach State and a clear neutral-site victory over Pepperdine, show the ceiling, and gritty late finishes against Utah Valley and SF Austin demonstrate toughness, but narrow losses to SC Upstate and UC San Diego along with the setback against Cal State Bakersfield have left the profile blemished. The committee will value road and neutral success, and right now the résumé lacks signature wins away from home against established opponents, so the upcoming slate matters greatly. Trips to San Diego State and Utah State and high-visibility home opportunities against the likes of Nevada and Boise State are the clearest paths to repair the damage; knocking off a recognized conference power on the road or splitting tough road tests would convert the team’s flashes into a resume that looks consistent rather than spotty.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5SC Upstate286L67-66
11/8Long Beach St274W82-62
11/12UC San Diego102L78-73
11/15Utah Valley88W75-74
11/18SF Austin151W80-78
11/21New Orleans190W85-76
11/26(N)Pepperdine284W76-53
11/30CS Bakersfield264L76-71
12/6@Arkansas377%
12/10@CS Northridge27059%
12/20@UNLV13732%
12/30Utah St3518%
1/3Nevada9840%
1/6@San Jose St20246%
1/10@San Diego St5110%
1/13Colorado St6729%
1/17Wyoming10644%
1/21@New Mexico10824%
1/24Grand Canyon10442%
1/31@Air Force32570%
2/3UNLV13753%
2/7@Nevada9821%
2/10@Utah St357%
2/14Air Force32586%
2/17@Wyoming10623%
2/21New Mexico10844%
2/24@Colorado St6713%
2/28Boise St5927%
3/3San Jose St20268%
3/7@Grand Canyon10422%