NCAA Tournament March Madness

#127 Fresno St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fresno State’s season has flashes that suggest it can compete but too many damaging results keep it on the outside looking in. The resume is propped up by a neutral-court win over Pepperdine, statement home victories against UNLV and Colorado State and a road victory at San Jose State, yet those moments are undone by blowout losses at Arkansas and San Diego State, a string of defeats at New Mexico, Utah State, Nevada and Wyoming, and surprising setbacks to lower-level opponents such as SC Upstate and CS Bakersfield; that combination signals inconsistency away from home and a collection of bad losses that outweigh the modest quality of its best wins. With only a home rematch against San Jose State and a difficult trip to Grand Canyon left to change perceptions the margin for improvement is small, so the current placement outside the field is understandable.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5SC Upstate297L67-66
11/8Long Beach St249W82-62
11/12UC San Diego113L78-73
11/15Utah Valley85W75-74
11/18SF Austin88W80-78
11/21New Orleans187W85-76
11/26(N)Pepperdine259W76-53
11/30CS Bakersfield326L76-71
12/6@Arkansas20L82-58
12/10@CS Northridge164L89-87
12/20@UNLV120L84-72
12/30Utah St26L72-63
1/3Nevada70L66-65
1/6@San Jose St233W70-55
1/10@San Diego St42L71-52
1/13Colorado St87W79-69
1/17Wyoming101W63-60
1/21@New Mexico46L83-74
1/24Grand Canyon62L68-57
1/31@Air Force345W79-62
2/3UNLV120W98-96
2/7@Nevada70L69-59
2/10@Utah St26L91-78
2/14Air Force345W93-63
2/17@Wyoming101L92-82
2/21New Mexico46L80-78
2/24@Colorado St87L74-70
2/28Boise St60L69-53
3/3San Jose St23381%
3/7@Grand Canyon6220%