NCAA Tournament March Madness

#264 Idaho St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Idaho State's projection for the NCAA tournament hinges on one imperative - snagging the automatic bid by winning the Big Sky Conference Tournament because their regular-season performance doesn't make the cut. Despite a spirited run in the conference tournament, their overall record is underwhelming, and their metrics, both offensively and defensively, are lackluster when compared to the higher echelons of college basketball. Telling losses to teams like Iowa State expose their struggle against top-tier competition. That said, victories in conference match-ups such as against Weber State show they can compete within the Big Sky. However, their inconsistent play is apparent with setbacks against Northern Arizona, and close shaves against lower-ranked adversaries don't build a case for an at-large bid. Bottom line: Idaho State's ticket to the dance is through the conference crown, nothing more, nothing less.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/10@St Thomas MN173L54-53
11/12@Iowa St9L86-55
11/20(N)Citadel276L62-61
11/21@Campbell301W69-55
11/28@Pepperdine241L77-62
12/2Lindenwood352W76-70
12/5@Fresno St208L79-67
12/9@Southern Utah254L82-74
12/21@Oregon St147L76-57
12/28Montana St204L74-66
12/30Montana151L76-68
1/3@Denver267L95-82
1/6NE Omaha268W63-62
1/11@Portland St249W69-63
1/13@CS Sacramento305L66-64
1/18Idaho314W64-59
1/20E Washington143L79-67
1/22@Montana St204L77-70
1/27@Weber St163W74-64
2/1@N Colorado205L91-86
2/3@Northern Arizona287W81-79
2/8CS Sacramento305W68-40
2/10Portland St249W68-65
2/15@E Washington143L88-82
2/17@Idaho314L55-53
2/24Weber St163W80-62
2/29Northern Arizona287L92-88
3/2N Colorado205L81-79
3/4@Montana151L79-65
3/9(N)Northern Arizona287W68-60
3/10(N)N Colorado205W83-76
3/12(N)Montana151L72-58