NCAA Tournament March Madness
#57 USC
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
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Projection: first four out
USC sits on the bubble because its resume is defined by a handful of headline neutral-site wins and a true road victory at Oregon that suggest real upside while a string of brutal losses at Michigan, Michigan State, and Illinois expose a vulnerability the committee will not ignore. Road wins at Wisconsin and Minnesota and a close victory at Penn State show the team can come through away from home, but narrow defeats at Iowa and Ohio State and a home loss to Oregon underline persistent inconsistency. The strong neutral-site results give the Trojans reasons to be included, yet the lopsided setbacks create enough doubt to keep them teetering on the edge. With meaningful games remaining against UCLA, Nebraska, and Washington there are clear opportunities to erase the bad losses or to cement bubble status depending on how those showdowns play out.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | Cal Poly | 212 | W94-64 |
| 11/9 | Manhattan | 331 | W114-83 |
| 11/14 | (N)Illinois St | 98 | W87-67 |
| 11/20 | Troy | 161 | W107-106 |
| 11/24 | (N)Boise St | 60 | W70-67 |
| 11/25 | (N)Seton Hall | 51 | W83-81 |
| 11/26 | (N)Arizona St | 63 | W88-75 |
| 12/2 | @Oregon | 106 | W82-77 |
| 12/6 | Washington | 47 | L84-76 |
| 12/9 | @San Diego | 225 | W94-81 |
| 12/14 | Washington St | 129 | W68-61 |
| 12/17 | UT San Antonio | 339 | W97-70 |
| 1/2 | @Michigan | 1 | L96-66 |
| 1/5 | @Michigan St | 10 | L80-51 |
| 1/9 | @Minnesota | 72 | W70-69 |
| 1/13 | Maryland | 128 | W88-71 |
| 1/17 | Purdue | 7 | L69-64 |
| 1/21 | Northwestern | 70 | L74-68 |
| 1/25 | @Wisconsin | 29 | W73-71 |
| 1/28 | @Iowa | 26 | L73-72 |
| 1/31 | Rutgers | 150 | W78-75 |
| 2/3 | Indiana | 41 | W81-75 |
| 2/8 | @Penn St | 136 | W77-75 |
| 2/11 | @Ohio St | 36 | L89-82 |
| 2/18 | Illinois | 4 | L101-65 |
| 2/21 | Oregon | 106 | L71-70 |
| 2/24 | @UCLA | 42 | 28% |
| 2/28 | Nebraska | 12 | 26% |
| 3/4 | @Washington | 47 | 34% |
| 3/7 | UCLA | 42 | 49% |