NCAA Tournament March Madness

#309 Manhattan

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Manhattan’s résumé is defined by a few modest peaks and some damaging valleys: neutral wins over Utah Tech and Mississippi Valley State plus home victories over Quinnipiac and Fairfield and a gritty road win at Rider are its best moments, but they are offset by blowout losses at USC, at Texas A&M and at Hawaii and by lopsided setbacks at Fordham and against other mid‑major opponents that sap the profile’s credibility. The committee will weigh the lack of any signature victory against high‑level opposition and will note that true road results have been poor outside of the Rider trip, so the remaining slate matters a great deal; home dates versus Canisius and Niagara and a stretch of conference games offer clear chances to repair the résumé, while looming road tests at Fairfield, Quinnipiac and Iona are the kind of dangerous opportunities that could either strengthen the case or create more damage. Ultimately the narrative is simple: solid if unspectacular wins at home and a couple of neutral‑site successes are useful, but until Manhattan converts winnable conference dates and avoids more bad road losses the profile will feel shaky to committee eyes.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/9@USC46L114-83
11/12(N)Utah Tech206W79-75
11/14@Hawaii96L86-56
11/15(N)MS Valley St365W80-73
11/21@Texas A&M43L109-68
11/26Wagner310L103-101
11/29@Army328L81-78
12/5Fairfield276W70-66
12/7@Marist138L80-68
12/13@Fordham197L82-53
12/18Furman164L75-68
12/21Presbyterian279W87-81
12/29@Rider350W74-71
1/2Quinnipiac155W80-79
1/4@Merrimack247L73-66
1/9Canisius33871%
1/11Niagara35678%
1/14@Fairfield27632%
1/17Siena17634%
1/19@Quinnipiac15514%
1/24@Iona21621%
1/30Rider35076%
2/1@Mt St Mary's30638%
2/5St Peter's25851%
2/7Sacred Heart29658%
2/13@Niagara35659%
2/15@Canisius33849%
2/20Marist13826%
2/27@St Peter's25829%
3/1Iona21641%