NCAA Tournament March Madness

#305 Wagner

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Wagner has flashed enough to win on the road against lesser opponents, with road trips to Manhattan, Chicago State and Central Connecticut yielding big results, but those highs are outweighed by resume-damaging outings at VCU and Maryland and losses away at Seton Hall and Georgetown that expose an inability to beat high-major competition. The roster’s pattern of narrow defeats to mid-majors and uneven conference results, including splits with Stonehill and LIU Brooklyn, leaves little in the way of signature wins or neutral-site résumé builders to sell an at-large case. Given the quality of its losses relative to the quality of its best victories, the clearest pathway onto the big bracket is through securing the Northeast’s automatic berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@VCU45L103-74
11/7@Seton Hall51L68-61
11/11@Fordham166L63-61
11/16@UMBC185L71-70
11/22@Georgetown79L92-75
11/26@Manhattan330W103-101
12/2@Maryland120L89-63
12/17MD E Shore350W78-64
1/2@Chicago St344W79-72
1/4Stonehill334L69-60
1/8St Francis PA354L71-69
1/10Mercyhurst287L70-69
1/17@New Haven328L80-74
1/19@F Dickinson336L68-61
1/23@Le Moyne299L69-67
1/29Central Conn306L62-55
1/31F Dickinson336W75-72
2/5Le Moyne299W79-78
2/7@Central Conn306L84-67
2/12LIU Brooklyn216L67-57
2/14@Stonehill334W68-57
2/16@LIU Brooklyn216L83-65
2/19@Mercyhurst287W83-80
2/21@St Francis PA354W65-56
2/26New Haven328W65-62
2/28Chicago St344W80-61
3/4@Central Conn306W70-60
3/7@LIU Brooklyn216L64-56