NCAA Tournament March Madness

#310 Wagner

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Projected seed: 16 (automatic qualifier, play-in game) (automatic qualifier)

Wagner’s résumé is defined by stark contrasts: the season’s most damaging moments were the heavy losses at VCU and at Maryland and the rough outing at Seton Hall, which stick in the committee’s mind, while its best moments are the gritty road win at Manhattan and the competitive showings away at Fordham and UMBC and a clean road victory at Chicago State that show the team can close games. Those blowouts against higher-tier opponents undercut the quality of the profile and make neutral and road success a high bar to clear, yet the remaining conference slate features winnable chances and several true road tests at places like LIU Brooklyn and Central Connecticut where strong results would materially improve perception. Until Wagner converts those opportunities into consistent road or neutral wins, the narrative is of a squad that beats its peers but struggles to back that up against teams from stronger leagues.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@VCU40L103-74
11/7@Seton Hall47L68-61
11/11@Fordham197L63-61
11/16@UMBC267L71-70
11/22@Georgetown109L92-75
11/26@Manhattan309W103-101
12/2@Maryland113L89-63
12/17MD E Shore335W78-64
1/2@Chicago St351W79-72
1/4Stonehill347L69-60
1/8St Francis PA36286%
1/10Mercyhurst31864%
1/17@New Haven33449%
1/19@F Dickinson35256%
1/23@Le Moyne30237%
1/25@LIU Brooklyn18418%
1/29Central Conn26151%
1/31F Dickinson35277%
2/5Le Moyne30259%
2/7@Central Conn26130%
2/12LIU Brooklyn18436%
2/14@Stonehill34752%
2/19@Mercyhurst31842%
2/21@St Francis PA36269%
2/26New Haven33470%
2/28Chicago St35176%