NCAA Tournament March Madness

#312 Wagner

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Projected seed: 16 (automatic qualifier, play-in game) (automatic qualifier)

Wagner’s profile is defined by a lone eye-catching road victory at Manhattan that proved the roster can score in a high-tempo environment but that signature moment is swallowed by ugly road defeats at VCU and Maryland and a string of competitive losses away at Seton Hall, Fordham, UMBC and Georgetown that leave the nonconference ledger lacking quality. The bad road results matter more than the high-scoring home contests because the committee rewards teams that win away from their building and Wagner hasn’t shown consistent success in hostile settings. Most of the remaining chances to reshape the résumé come against conference foes such as Stonehill, St Francis PA, Mercyhurst, New Haven, F Dickinson, Le Moyne, LIU Brooklyn, Central Connecticut and Chicago State with a mix of home and true road tests, and the road dates at LIU Brooklyn and Central Connecticut plus a trip to Stonehill are the only realistic opportunities for resume-changing wins. Unless Wagner strings together multiple road victories against those league opponents the overall body of work will read as a team that beat lesser competition at home but struggled to get meaningful results when the schedule stepped up.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@VCU45L103-74
11/7@Seton Hall49L68-61
11/11@Fordham204L63-61
11/16@UMBC286L71-70
11/22@Georgetown102L92-75
11/26@Manhattan323W103-101
12/2@Maryland100L89-63
12/17MD E Shore34270%
1/2@Chicago St34953%
1/4Stonehill34570%
1/8St Francis PA36181%
1/10Mercyhurst33167%
1/17@New Haven34149%
1/19@F Dickinson35760%
1/23@Le Moyne30738%
1/25@LIU Brooklyn20520%
1/29Central Conn24445%
1/31F Dickinson35779%
2/5Le Moyne30760%
2/7@Central Conn24425%
2/12LIU Brooklyn20539%
2/14@Stonehill34549%
2/19@Mercyhurst33145%
2/21@St Francis PA36163%
2/26New Haven34170%
2/28Chicago St34974%