NCAA Tournament March Madness

#330 Wagner

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Wagner’s résumé reads like a team whose only realistic path to the national field is to win the conference tournament because its nonconference window produced heavy defeats on the road at high-major opponents such as VCU, Seton Hall, Maryland and Georgetown that exposed defensive lapses and left no marquee signature win outside the league. The season’s high points — a wild, high-scoring victory at Manhattan and gritty road wins including a trip to Chicago State — prove the roster can close out games away from home but those wins mostly come against lower-tier programs and carry limited resume weight. At the same time a string of narrowly lost games at UMBC and Fordham and several conference setbacks show Wagner has been competitive but unable to finish in key moments, which hurts an at-large argument when paired with a soft quality-of-win profile. With the rest of the schedule stacked with familiar conference opponents including trips to Stonehill and Mercyhurst and critical matchups at Central Connecticut plus home dates with New Haven and LIU Brooklyn the team still has straightforward chances to improve its standing but the clearest, safest route into the tournament is to take the conference crown.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@VCU47L103-74
11/7@Seton Hall49L68-61
11/11@Fordham177L63-61
11/16@UMBC258L71-70
11/22@Georgetown85L92-75
11/26@Manhattan336W103-101
12/2@Maryland138L89-63
12/17MD E Shore334W78-64
1/2@Chicago St355W79-72
1/4Stonehill335L69-60
1/8St Francis PA357L71-69
1/10Mercyhurst291L70-69
1/17@New Haven339L80-74
1/19@F Dickinson340L68-61
1/23@Le Moyne284L69-67
1/26@LIU Brooklyn19514%
1/29Central Conn296L62-55
1/31F Dickinson340W75-72
2/5Le Moyne28449%
2/7@Central Conn29630%
2/12LIU Brooklyn19530%
2/14@Stonehill33541%
2/19@Mercyhurst29129%
2/21@St Francis PA35756%
2/26New Haven33965%
2/28Chicago St35575%