NCAA Tournament March Madness

#326 Mercyhurst

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Mercyhurst’s résumé is anchored by a road win at Loyola-Chicago and a home victory over Morgan State that show the program can win in tough environments, but that promise is heavily undercut by a string of road setbacks and a lopsided defeat at West Virginia that highlight inconsistency against stronger competition. A tight loss at Canisius suggests the team can compete in close games yet losses at Northwestern, Miami-Ohio and Marshall reveal a recurring difficulty finishing on the road, so the profile lacks sustained signature wins away from home. Upcoming road dates at Davidson and Syracuse represent the highest-leverage chances to erase damaging results, while the remaining conference slate against teams such as LIU Brooklyn, Wagner, Stonehill, Central Connecticut and New Haven are where Mercyhurst must build a consistent winning body of work. Absent a resume-changing road triumph or a dominant run through conference play a selection committee will treat the season as short on high-end wins and weighed down by a handful of harmful losses, so the remaining nonconference tests and the conference tournament are the clear paths to alter that perception.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Northwestern61L70-47
11/6@Loyola-Chicago291W73-65
11/12@Canisius353L58-55
11/15Morgan St361W86-72
11/20@Miami OH117L76-71
11/23@Marshall170L69-60
11/30@West Virginia75L70-38
12/5@Lafayette330L79-71
12/13@Davidson1308%
12/17@Syracuse642%
12/20Binghamton35574%
1/2F Dickinson36076%
1/4Le Moyne30254%
1/8@LIU Brooklyn23321%
1/10@Wagner31335%
1/17Stonehill34367%
1/19Central Conn23741%
1/23@New Haven33844%
1/25Chicago St36276%
1/29New Haven33866%
1/31@Chicago St36256%
2/5St Francis PA35473%
2/7@F Dickinson36055%
2/12@Le Moyne30232%
2/14@St Francis PA35452%
2/19Wagner31357%
2/21LIU Brooklyn23340%
2/26@Central Conn23721%
2/28@Stonehill34345%