NCAA Tournament March Madness

#320 Mercyhurst

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Mercyhurst looks like a team that will need the Northeast automatic bid to reach the NCAA tournament because its résumé carries a lone true highlight in the road win at Loyola‑Chicago and a solid result at Morgan State but is otherwise marred by the blowout at Northwestern and a string of tight road losses at Canisius, Miami Ohio and Marshall that leave it short on marquee victories. Tough upcoming road trips to West Virginia, Davidson and Syracuse are the only remaining nonconference chances to add a signature win before league play, and the conference schedule then settles into matchups against the likes of Binghamton, Chicago State and St Francis PA that will pad the ledger but not change perception without quality road or neutral wins. The defense has been a relative strength while the offense has struggled to deliver consistent signatures, so unless Mercyhurst can flip one of those high‑profile road tests the committee will view the conference tournament as the clearest path to the bracket.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Northwestern47L70-47
11/6@Loyola-Chicago284W73-65
11/12@Canisius344L58-55
11/15Morgan St361W86-72
11/20@Miami OH127L76-71
11/23@Marshall189L69-60
11/30@West Virginia764%
12/5@Lafayette33145%
12/13@Davidson12410%
12/17@Syracuse703%
12/20Binghamton35475%
1/2F Dickinson36078%
1/4Le Moyne33267%
1/8@LIU Brooklyn23525%
1/10@Wagner32139%
1/17Stonehill34068%
1/19Central Conn24147%
1/23@New Haven35153%
1/25Chicago St35676%
1/29New Haven35174%
1/31@Chicago St35655%
2/5St Francis PA35977%
2/7@F Dickinson36058%
2/12@Le Moyne33245%
2/14@St Francis PA35958%
2/19Wagner32161%
2/21LIU Brooklyn23546%
2/26@Central Conn24126%
2/28@Stonehill34046%