NCAA Tournament March Madness

#167 Marshall

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Marshall’s profile shows flashes that could catch a committee’s eye but too many damaging results to trust an at-large bid, so the clearest path to the field runs through winning the Sun Belt tournament. The best moments are resume-building road wins at Massachusetts and Toledo and solid nonconference home victories over the likes of Elon, Wright State and WKU that prove the team can beat quality mid-major opponents. The worst moments undercut that work: a lopsided trip to Virginia, a bad home loss to Lipscomb, and a string of inconsistent road results that includes losses at UNC Wilmington and Ohio and key conference setbacks at Troy and Georgia State plus a late slip to Coastal Carolina. The remainder of the regular season offers several manageable home games against teams such as South Alabama, Old Dominion and Georgia Southern and a handful of true road tests at Arkansas State, Texas State and Appalachian State where quality road wins would matter most. Given the balance of solid but not signature wins and clear holes on the road and at home, the team will need to win the league’s automatic spot or add a marquee neutral or road victory to feel secure about an NCAA berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Massachusetts183W78-72
11/8@Toledo161W85-73
11/12Elon153W96-89
11/15@Virginia12L104-78
11/20Ark Pine Bluff318W98-70
11/23Mercyhurst299W69-60
11/26Lipscomb160L90-67
12/3@UNC Wilmington121L70-69
12/6@Ohio221L88-81
12/10WKU169W77-61
12/13Wright St146W76-74
12/20@Troy113L70-63
12/31Georgia St277W84-80
1/3Appalachian St218W88-81
1/7@James Madison239W66-64
1/10@Georgia St277L81-73
1/14Coastal Car247L85-83
1/17James Madison239W77-72
1/22ULM358W115-60
1/24South Alabama20870%
1/28@Texas St27160%
1/31@Arkansas St15436%
2/4Southern Miss23072%
2/7Miami OH8938%
2/11@Old Dominion24253%
2/14@Ga Southern24454%
2/19@Appalachian St21849%
2/21@Coastal Car24754%
2/24Old Dominion24274%
2/27Ga Southern24474%