NCAA Tournament March Madness

#349 ULM

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

ULM's path to the NCAA tournament is fraught with challenges, evident from their tough non-conference slate that includes heavy losses against LSU and Tulane. Their inconsistent offensive and defensive performances, particularly against lower-ranked teams, raise significant concerns about their ability to secure a strong standing in the Sun Belt. With multiple matchups against mid-tier opponents like South Alabama and Troy, ULM needs to turn those 30-40% win probabilities into victories to bolster their resume. The need for quality wins is paramount, and their struggle in previous outings against teams in the range of 100-200 indicates they must elevate their game significantly to earn any hope of an at-large bid and instead focus on securing the automatic qualifier through conference play.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6@LSU68L95-60
11/8@Tulane153L80-64
11/12@Rice186L66-50
11/18SE Louisiana184L70-67
11/22@Northwestern LA237W65-63
11/23(N)North Alabama130L74-62
11/29SF Austin258L68-60
12/2UT Arlington218L84-70
12/11Ark Pine Bluff363W89-73
12/14@UT Arlington218L77-68
12/17Houston Chr270L74-68
12/21Old Dominion322L80-75
1/2@Ga Southern286L90-82
1/4@Coastal Car302L70-51
1/9@Southern Miss273L84-67
1/11@Louisiana335L71-68
1/15Troy111L77-58
1/18Louisiana335L65-60
1/23South Alabama10736%
1/25Appalachian St13438%
1/30@South Alabama10729%
2/1@Troy11129%
2/5@Georgia St31741%
2/13Texas St16640%
2/15Southern Miss27346%
2/19@Texas St16632%
2/22@Arkansas St9428%
2/25James Madison16039%
2/28Arkansas St9434%