NCAA Tournament March Madness

#146 Troy

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Projected seed: 14 (automatic qualifier)

Troy’s résumé pairs a few eye‑opening road and neutral moments with a string of messy setbacks, which is why the projection treats the team as needing more to feel safe. The win at San Diego St and gritty victories at Kent, Furman and UAB show Troy can win away from home in hostile settings, but those signatures are diluted by losses at Loy Marymount and CS Northridge, a neutral loss to Toledo and a troubling home performance against Appalachian St that leave the résumé uneven. There are clear chances to flip the script on the remaining slate — road trips to Texas St, Southern Miss, ULM and Georgia St and home dates with Akron and Louisiana plus conference games against South Alabama — yet until Troy converts those opportunities the prudent view for bracket makers is that the conference title is the most certain path to the tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Kent143W103-97
11/7@Furman178W64-61
11/14@Loy Marymount167L74-63
11/16@CS Northridge187L94-85
11/18@San Diego St43W108-107
11/20@USC50L107-106
11/24(N)Toledo153L75-68
11/26(N)St Francis PA357W74-64
12/1West Georgia328L93-89
12/14@UAB123W86-85
12/20Marshall159W70-63
12/31Texas St274W100-80
1/3South Alabama211W59-49
1/7@Arkansas St170L86-74
1/10@Louisiana318W90-70
1/14Southern Miss246W91-65
1/17Arkansas St170W99-74
1/21@Old Dominion247W83-77
1/24@Ga Southern263W83-78
1/29James Madison225L73-64
1/31Appalachian St181L66-44
2/4@Georgia St27565%
2/7Akron5230%
2/11@Texas St27465%
2/14@Southern Miss24660%
2/18@ULM35688%
2/21@South Alabama21153%
2/24Louisiana31890%
2/27ULM35696%