NCAA Tournament March Madness

#145 Troy

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Troy’s résumé is built around eye-catching road victories at San Diego State, Kent and Furman that show this team can win away from home, but those signature wins are counterbalanced by damaging defeats to Cal State Northridge and West Georgia and a neutral-site loss to Toledo that the committee will not overlook. Tight losses at USC and Loyola Marymount suggest the group competes with strong opponents but close defeats are not the same as résumé enhancers. The remaining slate hands Troy multiple chances to improve with road tests at UAB and Old Dominion and a string of conference games against the likes of Marshall, Texas State, Louisiana, South Alabama and Southern Miss where quality results would flip the narrative. What matters most is continued road or neutral success and avoiding further bad losses, because the marquee nonconference scalps give the program upside but the low-end setbacks have created a clear vulnerability.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Kent122W103-97
11/7@Furman156W64-61
11/14@Loy Marymount143L74-63
11/16@CS Northridge266L94-85
11/18@San Diego St47W108-107
11/20@USC28L107-106
11/24(N)Toledo160L75-68
11/26(N)St Francis PA354W74-64
12/1West Georgia284L93-89
12/14@UAB11329%
12/20Marshall16867%
12/31Texas St22977%
1/3South Alabama14863%
1/7@Arkansas St15142%
1/10@Louisiana32776%
1/14Southern Miss20473%
1/17Arkansas St15164%
1/21@Old Dominion22055%
1/24@Ga Southern22356%
1/29James Madison17769%
1/31Appalachian St29786%
2/4@Georgia St33478%
2/11@Texas St22957%
2/14@Southern Miss20452%
2/18@ULM35586%
2/21@South Alabama14841%
2/24Louisiana32790%
2/27ULM35595%