NCAA Tournament March Madness

#131 Toledo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Toledo's standing as a team that must secure its league's automatic berth follows directly from the resume: the Rockets have shown they can score in bunches and have road wins at midmajor opponents like Wright State and Central Michigan, but they lack a true marquee victory and have been hurt by bad showings such as the neutral loss to Belmont, the road defeat at Oakland and the painful trip to Michigan State. Those setbacks, along with close losses away at James Madison and Akron, expose defensive vulnerability that offsets Toledo's high-octane offensive nights and leaves the profile thin on quality neutral-site wins. Given the mix of solid wins against the conference midpack and resume-damaging outings against better foes, the clearest, most reliable path to the tournament is capturing the Mid-American Conference's automatic spot.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3South Alabama205L76-74
11/8Marshall208L85-73
11/11@Wright St140W81-71
11/15Detroit217W90-83
11/19Youngstown St214W92-75
11/24(N)Troy143W75-68
11/26(N)Belmont69L87-72
12/6@Oakland169L98-97
12/13@Robert Morris144L75-70
12/16@Michigan St9L92-69
12/30W Michigan273W84-79
1/3@C Michigan269W78-75
1/6@N Illinois333W75-61
1/9Miami OH93L87-73
1/13Ohio228W101-85
1/16@Kent148L87-84
1/20@Massachusetts196L84-82
1/24Bowling Green147W73-72
1/27@Akron64L91-81
1/31Ball St294W73-55
2/3Kent148L75-72
2/7@James Madison213L73-71
2/11@W Michigan273W90-79
2/14@Bowling Green147L80-70
2/21E Michigan239W94-75
2/24N Illinois333W79-69
2/28@Ohio228W79-67
3/3@Miami OH93L74-72
3/6Buffalo199W99-78
3/12(N)Bowling Green147W77-76
3/13(N)Massachusetts196W77-67
3/14(N)Akron64L79-76