NCAA Tournament March Madness

#136 Toledo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Toledo’s profile is built on an offense that can overwhelm league competition, with eye-catching home wins over Ohio and Buffalo and resume-building road victories at Central Michigan and at Ohio, but it also carries a string of damaging results away from home and in neutral settings, most notably at Michigan State, at Oakland and a neutral loss to Belmont. Those tough losses expose a leaky defense that erodes the value of the team’s high-scoring outings and leaves the roster short on signature wins against opponents that would impress a national selection body. With quality victories concentrated inside the conference and without a marquee nonconference scalp, the clearest path to the tournament is a strong run through the Mid-American Conference tournament where Toledo can replace weak nonconference results with a controlled body of work.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3South Alabama206L76-74
11/8Marshall196L85-73
11/11@Wright St147W81-71
11/15Detroit220W90-83
11/19Youngstown St213W92-75
11/24(N)Troy158W75-68
11/26(N)Belmont65L87-72
12/6@Oakland164L98-97
12/13@Robert Morris141L75-70
12/16@Michigan St10L92-69
12/30W Michigan276W84-79
1/3@C Michigan271W78-75
1/6@N Illinois333W75-61
1/9Miami OH90L87-73
1/13Ohio227W101-85
1/16@Kent156L87-84
1/20@Massachusetts198L84-82
1/24Bowling Green149W73-72
1/27@Akron60L91-81
1/31Ball St291W73-55
2/3Kent156L75-72
2/7@James Madison214L73-71
2/11@W Michigan276W90-79
2/14@Bowling Green149L80-70
2/21E Michigan242W94-75
2/24N Illinois333W79-69
2/28@Ohio227W79-67
3/3@Miami OH90L74-72
3/6Buffalo205W98-78