NCAA Tournament March Madness
#160 Toledo
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Toledo has flashed a dangerous offense in road wins at Wright State and Central Michigan, a neutral victory over Troy, and high-scoring home nights against Ohio and Ball State, but that promise is undercut by ugly losses away from home and in the nonconference slate, most notably the one-sided trip to Michigan State and the shootouts at Oakland and against South Alabama and Marshall, which expose a defensive vulnerability. With too few signature wins and several damaging defeats away from its building, Toledo’s clearest path onto the NCAA stage is to secure the Mid-American Conference automatic berth, and the final regular-season games at home against Eastern Michigan and Northern Illinois and road dates at Ohio and Miami along with the meeting with Buffalo are the last chances to repair the resume before conference tournament play.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | South Alabama | 194 | L76-74 |
| 11/8 | Marshall | 170 | L85-73 |
| 11/11 | @Wright St | 147 | W81-71 |
| 11/15 | Detroit | 257 | W90-83 |
| 11/19 | Youngstown St | 200 | W92-75 |
| 11/24 | (N)Troy | 138 | W75-68 |
| 11/26 | (N)Belmont | 61 | L87-72 |
| 12/6 | @Oakland | 137 | L98-97 |
| 12/13 | @Robert Morris | 187 | L75-70 |
| 12/16 | @Michigan St | 13 | L92-69 |
| 12/30 | W Michigan | 279 | W84-79 |
| 1/3 | @C Michigan | 272 | W78-75 |
| 1/6 | @N Illinois | 317 | W75-61 |
| 1/9 | Miami OH | 84 | L87-73 |
| 1/13 | Ohio | 220 | W101-85 |
| 1/16 | @Kent | 146 | L87-84 |
| 1/20 | @Massachusetts | 183 | L84-82 |
| 1/24 | Bowling Green | 139 | W73-72 |
| 1/27 | @Akron | 66 | L91-81 |
| 1/31 | Ball St | 322 | W73-55 |
| 2/3 | Kent | 146 | L75-72 |
| 2/7 | @James Madison | 223 | L73-71 |
| 2/11 | @W Michigan | 279 | W90-79 |
| 2/14 | @Bowling Green | 139 | L80-70 |
| 2/21 | E Michigan | 229 | 75% |
| 2/24 | N Illinois | 317 | 89% |
| 2/28 | @Ohio | 220 | 52% |
| 3/3 | @Miami OH | 84 | 20% |
| 3/6 | Buffalo | 188 | 66% |