NCAA Tournament March Madness

#154 Toledo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Toledo’s résumé is defined by a high-scoring offense that produced strong moments away from home and on neutral floors, most notably wins at Wright State and neutral-site success against Troy and solid home victories over Detroit and Youngstown State, while those bright spots are offset by damaging defeats to Belmont at a neutral site and road setbacks at South Alabama, Oakland and Marshall that expose a vulnerable defense. The best results show the team can close games outside its building and contend in tougher environments, but the bad losses on the road and at neutral venues cap the upside and leave work to do. The remaining slate hands Toledo multiple chances at home to rebuild momentum alongside a handful of difficult road tests such as the trip to Michigan State and a visit to Akron that will be true resume-makers if they go right and resume-damaging if they go wrong, which is why the current placement feels consistent with both what the team has already done and what it still needs to prove.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3South Alabama172L76-74
11/8Marshall153L85-73
11/11@Wright St142W81-71
11/15Detroit297W90-83
11/19Youngstown St159W92-75
11/24(N)Troy148W75-68
11/26(N)Belmont74L87-72
12/6@Oakland145L98-97
12/13@Robert Morris17945%
12/16@Michigan St123%
12/30W Michigan24276%
1/3@C Michigan31371%
1/6@N Illinois32774%
1/9Miami OH12050%
1/10Miami OH12050%
1/13Ohio19970%
1/17@Kent12831%
1/20@Massachusetts17744%
1/24Bowling Green11649%
1/27@Akron5412%
1/31Ball St32188%
2/3Kent12853%
2/11@W Michigan24256%
2/14@Bowling Green11628%
2/21E Michigan20772%
2/24N Illinois32789%
2/28@Ohio19949%
3/3@Miami OH12029%
3/6Buffalo20471%