NCAA Tournament March Madness

#136 Toledo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Toledo's season has been a tale of offensive firepower up against defensive lapses. They soared offensively, as evidenced by strong showings against Louisiana and Northern Iowa, answering questions about whether they can handle stout competition. However, the Rockets' defense struggled mightily, which is glaring from losses against lower-ranked teams like Central Michigan and Northern Illinois. Notably, despite the high-scoring affair, coming up short against a strong Appalachian State team showcased their defensive vulnerability in tightly contested matchups. The Rockets' resume features enough highs and lows that would typically leave doubts for an at-large bid, but with their explosive offense, it’s clear that success in the Mid-American Conference Tournament is a must for securing a tourney spot. Securing a few quality wins against top teams in their conference could have provided a stronger case, but with losses in some games they needed to win, the Rockets have left themselves little wiggle room and must pivot to focus on automatic qualification.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6Detroit360W94-60
11/11Louisiana145W87-78
11/14@Wright St166W78-77
11/21(N)New Mexico23L92-84
11/22(N)UC Irvine73L77-71
11/24(N)Indiana St32L76-74
12/2George Mason98L86-77
12/6@Oakland137W69-68
12/9Northern Iowa101W84-80
12/13Marshall225W88-87
12/20Vermont93L86-60
12/23@West Virginia152L91-81
1/2@Ohio149W86-77
1/5Miami OH259W68-64
1/9@Kent188W89-75
1/13Ball St266W77-72
1/16Buffalo357W77-66
1/19@C Michigan240L65-62
1/23@N Illinois295W89-73
1/27Bowling Green206W88-72
1/30W Michigan297W88-63
2/2@Akron110L77-70
2/6@E Michigan322W91-87
2/10@Appalachian St81L109-104
2/16Ohio149W85-83
2/20Akron110W72-64
2/23@Bowling Green206L76-68
2/27N Illinois295L75-72
3/2@Buffalo357W85-79
3/5@Miami OH259W97-63
3/8Kent188W86-71
3/14(N)Kent188L67-59