NCAA Tournament March Madness

#204 Buffalo

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Buffalo’s profile is built on a handful of solid nonconference results, most notably a gritty road victory at DePaul and comfortable wins over Southern Miss and Vermont plus neutral-site finishes against VMI and Bucknell, which show this team can close games outside its own gym. Those positives are offset by the loss to St. Bonaventure and recurring defensive breakdowns that have made otherwise winnable outings far too close, so the resume lacks a truly signature road or high-end neutral scalp to silence skeptics. The conference slate still offers meaningful chances to change the picture, with important tests at Akron, Ohio and Toledo and a home window against Akron and other league contenders that could either add the quality win the committee values or further undersell Buffalo if it struggles away from campus. Overall this is a team with competent wins against its peers and clear weaknesses on the defensive end, and its standing will hinge on how it handles the remaining tough road assignments.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Southern Miss200W85-79
11/7WI Green Bay278W83-76
11/11@DePaul130W66-53
11/18Vermont197W94-90
11/24(N)VMI331W78-70
11/26(N)Bucknell302W73-71
11/29@Canisius352W71-53
12/6St Bonaventure107L77-69
12/9@UMBC27251%
12/14@East Carolina29355%
12/20@W Michigan24246%
12/30@N Illinois32665%
1/3Ball St32182%
1/10@Ohio19938%
1/13Kent12842%
1/17@Miami OH12021%
1/20Akron5418%
1/24Massachusetts17656%
1/27@Bowling Green11620%
1/31Ohio19961%
2/3Miami OH12040%
2/11@Ball St32164%
2/17N Illinois32683%
2/21@Massachusetts17634%
2/24@Akron547%
2/28C Michigan31380%
3/3E Michigan20762%
3/6@Toledo15329%