NCAA Tournament March Madness

#272 UMBC

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

UMBC's profile hinges on a few road wins and a string of patchy nonconference results that leave its fate tied to what happens next in conference play. The best moments came away from home at Morgan State and Bucknell and in a gritty win over Wagner, which show the team can grind out wins in less friendly environments, while the most damaging result is the blowout at George Washington and the losses at Dayton, Georgetown, and to Buffalo that expose limits against stronger opponents. The rest of the schedule is dominated by America East foes such as Maine, New Hampshire, Bryant, Binghamton, NJIT, Massachusetts Lowell, Vermont, and SUNY Albany and there is a notable road test at South Florida, so the Retrievers can still reshape their profile with sustained road and neutral success or they can leave those nonconference blemishes as the defining feature of the résumé.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Dayton69L77-71
11/11@Morgan St363W81-79
11/16Wagner314W71-70
11/19@G Washington81L89-52
11/29Delaware St357W71-57
12/3@Georgetown92L90-81
12/6@Bucknell301W73-66
12/9Buffalo204L83-79
12/12Army34480%
12/21@South Florida848%
12/29@Coppin St36480%
1/8Maine31671%
1/10New Hampshire33678%
1/15@Bryant30547%
1/19@Binghamton35567%
1/22NJIT34881%
1/24MA Lowell31270%
1/29@Vermont19727%
1/31@SUNY Albany31951%
2/5Binghamton35584%
2/12@Maine31650%
2/14@New Hampshire33658%
2/19Vermont19748%
2/21SUNY Albany31972%
2/26Bryant30569%
2/28@MA Lowell31248%
3/3@NJIT34863%