NCAA Tournament March Madness

#345 Canisius

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Canisius’s resume leaves little margin for an at-large case because its highlight reel is limited to narrow wins over low-end nonconference and league opponents and a handful of road victories, while its worst results include blowouts at Dayton, Duquesne and High Point and a steady string of road defeats at St Bonaventure, Rhode Island and league foes such as Iona, Siena, Quinnipiac and Niagara. The team’s best moments—home wins over Mercyhurst, Maryland Eastern Shore and Fairfield and road wins at Manhattan and Maine—show it can close out games, but they are not signature scalps and they are outweighed by frequent struggles away from home and a lack of neutral-site success. Remaining home and road games against Manhattan, Rider, Mt St Mary’s, Merrimack and Quinnipiac are opportunities to rebuild momentum but none are resume-changing, so with the quality of losses and the thin body of top wins the only clean path into the bracket runs through claiming the Metro Atlantic automatic bid.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Dayton97L88-48
11/8@St Bonaventure145L89-70
11/12Mercyhurst291W58-55
11/17@High Point92L93-50
11/21MD E Shore339W60-57
11/23Binghamton362W75-66
11/29Buffalo188L71-53
12/5@St Peter's244L69-57
12/7@Siena199L74-52
12/13@Maine349W70-43
12/16@Rhode Island116L62-45
12/22@Duquesne111L103-59
1/2Fairfield263W85-81
1/4Sacred Heart294W82-78
1/9@Manhattan329W70-64
1/11@Iona248L74-48
1/14Niagara341L59-54
1/17Mt St Mary's295L78-68
1/22@Sacred Heart294L69-66
1/24@Fairfield263L61-55
1/30Marist185L88-86
2/1Siena199L78-63
2/3@Niagara341L65-56
2/5@Quinnipiac193L75-60
2/13Iona248L69-63
2/15Manhattan32951%
2/20@Rider35748%
2/22@Mt St Mary's29522%
2/27Merrimack16918%
3/1Quinnipiac19321%