NCAA Tournament March Madness
#195 Siena
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Siena’s projection to need the conference automatic makes sense because the resume lacks a headlining victory outside the league while carrying several damaging road and home losses that a committee will notice. The nonconference slate includes a heavy defeat at Indiana and setbacks at St. Bonaventure and Vermont plus home defeats against Colgate and Merrimack that undercut any at‑large case. Most of the résumé’s wins come against lesser league and regional opponents, with useful road wins at Niagara and Canisius and a home victory over Iona offering bright spots but not the kind of signature neutral victory that separates bubble teams. A pair of neutral‑site wins against Mt. St. Mary’s and Fairfield late in the schedule demonstrate the team can close in hostile settings and the defense has kept Siena competitive, yet the accumulation of bad losses and the absence of a marquee nonconference triumph leave the automatic bid as the clearest path to the NCAA field.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | Bryant | 355 | W82-66 |
| 11/7 | @Brown | 287 | W62-46 |
| 11/12 | @St Bonaventure | 160 | L75-66 |
| 11/17 | Colgate | 250 | L72-69 |
| 11/21 | SUNY Albany | 325 | W73-63 |
| 11/24 | @Holy Cross | 330 | W73-69 |
| 11/28 | (N)Longwood | 271 | W70-63 |
| 11/29 | @American Univ | 240 | W59-55 |
| 11/30 | (N)Maine | 348 | W64-60 |
| 12/5 | Niagara | 338 | W83-54 |
| 12/7 | Canisius | 343 | W74-52 |
| 12/17 | @Vermont | 235 | L83-69 |
| 12/22 | @Indiana | 41 | L81-60 |
| 1/2 | @Iona | 259 | L75-72 |
| 1/4 | @Rider | 357 | W74-65 |
| 1/9 | Merrimack | 174 | L63-59 |
| 1/11 | @Mt St Mary's | 279 | W67-50 |
| 1/14 | Sacred Heart | 295 | L86-80 |
| 1/17 | @Manhattan | 329 | W74-59 |
| 1/19 | Fairfield | 264 | W85-77 |
| 1/22 | Marist | 203 | W69-50 |
| 1/30 | @Niagara | 338 | W82-79 |
| 2/1 | @Canisius | 343 | W78-63 |
| 2/5 | Iona | 259 | W79-72 |
| 2/7 | @St Peter's | 256 | L70-65 |
| 2/13 | Quinnipiac | 218 | L74-62 |
| 2/15 | @Marist | 203 | W67-63 |
| 2/20 | @Merrimack | 174 | L79-72 |
| 2/22 | St Peter's | 256 | W72-63 |
| 2/27 | @Fairfield | 264 | L72-58 |
| 3/1 | Rider | 357 | W76-61 |
| 3/7 | (N)Mt St Mary's | 279 | W63-58 |
| 3/8 | (N)Fairfield | 264 | W76-61 |
| 3/10 | (N)Merrimack | 174 | 44% |