NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Xavier

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#82 Xavier

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

Xavier has shown it can beat quality teams in a neutral setting with the win over West Virginia and it pushed Georgia in another neutral outing, but those positives are undermined by a checking-out loss at Iowa and a puzzling defeat to Santa Clara that expose inconsistency; the resume is further dented by struggles in hostile Big East arenas, with trips to Georgetown, Marquette and Villanova highlighting how difficult it has been to win away from home. Conference play still gives meaningful chances to repair the ledger, with a home date against Cincinnati and games against Creighton, Providence and Butler offering opportunities to build a stronger case, yet the schedule also includes a return trip to Connecticut and several true road tests that keep the margin for error small. In short, the profile blends a headline neutral win and some competitive moments with damaging losses and poor road results, so Xavier needs timely, high-quality wins—especially away from its own gym—to change the narrative.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	Marist	148	W66-62
11/6	Le Moyne	308	W74-69
11/10	Santa Clara	51	L87-68
11/14	@Iowa	21	L81-62
11/18	Old Dominion	218	W99-69
11/21	(N)Georgia	37	L78-77
11/23	(N)West Virginia	74	W78-68
11/28	TAM C. Christi	246	W88-67
12/1	St Francis PA	356	98%
12/5	Cincinnati	71	56%
12/12	Missouri St	249	92%
12/17	Creighton	56	50%
12/20	@Georgetown	86	41%
12/31	Connecticut	6	20%
1/3	@DePaul	116	52%
1/7	@Marquette	79	37%
1/10	Providence	72	57%
1/14	Butler	43	44%
1/21	@Creighton	56	29%
1/24	St John's	18	26%
1/28	@Seton Hall	65	32%
1/31	DePaul	116	73%
2/3	@Connecticut	6	8%
2/9	@St John's	18	12%
2/14	Marquette	79	59%
2/17	Villanova	42	44%
2/21	@Butler	43	24%
2/24	@Providence	72	35%
2/28	Georgetown	86	63%
3/3	Seton Hall	65	54%
3/7	@Villanova	42	24%