NCAA Tournament March Madness

#51 Texas

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Projection: likely out

Texas’s profile carries a clear headline win on a neutral floor against NC State but is offset by damaging nonconference outcomes, most notably the trip to Duke and the heavy defeat to Virginia, which expose defensive holes and inconsistency. Many of the victories came against low-end opposition and do little to balance those blemishes, and a tight loss at Arizona State shows the team can compete with quality opponents without getting the decisive result. The resume hinges on road and neutral performance because signature victories away from home are sparse, and the remaining slate hands Texas high-leverage chances to alter the narrative with wins at Connecticut, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky, Arkansas, or Auburn and with major home dates against Vanderbilt, Texas A&M, LSU, Florida, and Oklahoma. Collecting a true signature road or neutral triumph or avoiding further damaging home losses would change the outlook, while failing to do so will leave the same questions about schedule strength and defensive reliability.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4(N)Duke4L75-60
11/8Lafayette327W97-60
11/12F Dickinson360W93-58
11/15Missouri KC345W71-55
11/18Rider349W99-65
11/24(N)Arizona St70L87-86
11/26(N)NC State28W102-97
12/3Virginia23L88-69
12/8Southern Univ21194%
12/12@Connecticut713%
12/16Le Moyne30598%
12/22MD E Shore34199%
1/3Mississippi St8273%
1/6@Tennessee1822%
1/10@Alabama1316%
1/13Vanderbilt828%
1/14Vanderbilt828%
1/17Texas A&M5261%
1/21@Kentucky2024%
1/24Georgia2547%
1/28@Auburn3028%
1/31@Oklahoma5640%
2/3South Carolina8674%
2/7Mississippi5061%
2/14@Missouri5540%
2/17LSU3955%
2/21@Georgia2526%
2/25Florida1434%
2/28@Texas A&M5239%
3/3@Arkansas2928%
3/4@Arkansas2928%
3/7Oklahoma5663%