NCAA Tournament March Madness
#23 Virginia
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Projected seed: 5
Virginia’s résumé is anchored by a marquee road victory at Texas and solid neutral‑court wins over Northwestern and Dayton while a stout defensive identity keeps them competitive even when the offense struggles. The neutral loss to Butler and a long string of low‑end nonconference blowouts dilute the profile and leave the team short on genuine top‑tier scalps, so that solitary blemish becomes the result committees notice most. The remaining slate gives clear chances to upgrade with home tests against Maryland, California, Stanford and North Carolina and with high‑value road and neutral opportunities at NC State, Louisville, SMU, Notre Dame, Ohio State and Duke, and how Virginia defends in those environments will determine whether the Butler loss looks like an outlier or a pattern.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | Rider | 349 | W87-53 |
| 11/7 | NC Central | 350 | W81-62 |
| 11/11 | Hampton | 221 | W91-53 |
| 11/15 | Marshall | 153 | W104-78 |
| 11/21 | (N)Northwestern | 61 | W83-78 |
| 11/23 | (N)Butler | 47 | L80-73 |
| 11/28 | Queens NC | 189 | W94-69 |
| 12/3 | @Texas | 50 | W88-69 |
| 12/6 | (N)Dayton | 69 | W86-73 |
| 12/9 | MD E Shore | 341 | 100% |
| 12/20 | Maryland | 95 | 87% |
| 12/22 | American Univ | 225 | 98% |
| 12/31 | @Virginia Tech | 62 | 59% |
| 1/3 | @NC State | 28 | 42% |
| 1/7 | California | 71 | 80% |
| 1/10 | Stanford | 90 | 86% |
| 1/13 | @Louisville | 14 | 27% |
| 1/17 | @SMU | 40 | 47% |
| 1/24 | North Carolina | 24 | 61% |
| 1/27 | @Notre Dame | 60 | 58% |
| 1/31 | @Boston College | 144 | 83% |
| 2/3 | Pittsburgh | 108 | 89% |
| 2/7 | Syracuse | 67 | 79% |
| 2/10 | @Florida St | 96 | 72% |
| 2/14 | (N)Ohio St | 36 | 57% |
| 2/18 | @Georgia Tech | 136 | 81% |
| 2/21 | Miami FL | 34 | 67% |
| 2/24 | NC State | 28 | 64% |
| 2/28 | @Duke | 4 | 17% |
| 3/3 | Wake Forest | 45 | 73% |
| 3/7 | Virginia Tech | 62 | 79% |