NCAA Tournament March Madness

#12 Virginia

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Projected seed: 4

Virginia’s profile reads like a reliable bracket team because its best moments have come away from home and on neutral floors, with road victories at Texas, Louisville, SMU and at NC State plus neutral wins over Northwestern and Dayton that prove it can beat quality opponents outside Charlottesville. The defense remains the program’s identity and nonconference tests against California and Stanford, along with a solid showing versus Marshall, give the resume depth, but the neutral-site loss to Butler and the setback at Virginia Tech are blemishes a selection panel will weigh heavily. Upcoming games offer clear chances to reinforce the case — a home test against North Carolina, a trip to Notre Dame and a neutral pairing with Ohio State give Virginia room to improve while a road date at Duke represents the single high-risk event that could swing perception the other way. Those elements together explain why the team sits where it does on the bracket: meaningful road and neutral success, a stout defense, a couple of damaging slips, and several imminent opportunities to lock up its standing.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Rider353W87-53
11/7NC Central349W81-62
11/11Hampton243W91-53
11/15Marshall167W104-78
11/21(N)Northwestern61W83-78
11/23(N)Butler58L80-73
11/28Queens NC162W94-69
12/3@Texas41W88-69
12/6(N)Dayton77W86-73
12/9MD E Shore327W84-60
12/20Maryland115W80-72
12/22American Univ210W95-51
12/31@Virginia Tech56L95-85
1/3@NC State27W76-61
1/7California75W84-60
1/10Stanford76W70-55
1/13@Louisville16W79-70
1/17@SMU31W72-68
1/24North Carolina3377%
1/27@Notre Dame8178%
1/31@Boston College14891%
2/3Pittsburgh9893%
2/7Syracuse7189%
2/10@Florida St10584%
2/14(N)Ohio St3569%
2/18@Georgia Tech12788%
2/21Miami FL3779%
2/24NC State2774%
2/28@Duke325%
3/3Wake Forest7089%
3/7Virginia Tech5686%