NCAA Tournament March Madness
#17 Louisville
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Projected seed: 6
Louisville's projection makes sense because its resume is a mix of signature victories and damaging setbacks that leave the team squarely in the middle of the bracket. The Cardinals have beaten Kentucky and collected important neutral-site wins over Cincinnati and Baylor while showing they can win on the road at California, which gives the resume top-end credibility. Counterbalancing those highlights are heavy defeats to Duke and road setbacks at Arkansas, Tennessee and SMU that expose defensive inconsistency, plus narrow losses at North Carolina and Clemson that keep questions alive. With a rugged conference slate and the premium selection committees place on road and neutral success, the profile fits a middle-bracket placement and the upcoming trip to Miami is a clear chance to improve before the league tournament.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | S Carolina St | 356 | W104-45 |
| 11/6 | Jackson St | 342 | W106-70 |
| 11/11 | Kentucky | 26 | W96-88 |
| 11/15 | Ohio | 231 | W106-81 |
| 11/21 | (N)Cincinnati | 42 | W74-64 |
| 11/24 | E Michigan | 241 | W87-46 |
| 11/26 | NJIT | 332 | W104-47 |
| 12/3 | @Arkansas | 16 | L89-80 |
| 12/6 | (N)Indiana | 41 | W87-78 |
| 12/13 | Memphis | 131 | W99-73 |
| 12/16 | @Tennessee | 13 | L83-62 |
| 12/20 | Montana | 189 | W94-54 |
| 12/30 | @California | 70 | W90-70 |
| 1/2 | @Stanford | 61 | L80-76 |
| 1/6 | Duke | 1 | L84-73 |
| 1/10 | Boston College | 161 | W75-62 |
| 1/13 | Virginia | 19 | L79-70 |
| 1/17 | @Pittsburgh | 102 | W100-59 |
| 1/24 | Virginia Tech | 57 | W85-71 |
| 1/26 | @Duke | 1 | L83-52 |
| 1/31 | SMU | 43 | W88-74 |
| 2/4 | Notre Dame | 87 | W76-65 |
| 2/7 | @Wake Forest | 76 | W88-80 |
| 2/9 | NC State | 35 | W118-77 |
| 2/14 | (N)Baylor | 50 | W82-71 |
| 2/17 | @SMU | 43 | L95-85 |
| 2/21 | Georgia Tech | 168 | W87-70 |
| 2/23 | @North Carolina | 29 | L77-74 |
| 2/28 | @Clemson | 38 | L80-75 |
| 3/3 | Syracuse | 80 | W77-62 |
| 3/7 | @Miami FL | 28 | 51% |