NCAA Tournament March Madness

#15 Louisville

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Projected seed: 6

Louisville profiles as a high seed because its résumé pairs headline wins and credible road success with a handful of damaging setbacks: the Cardinals beat Kentucky at home, beat Indiana on a neutral floor, took care of Cincinnati at a neutral site and traveled to win at California while also blowing out NC State at home, all of which shows they can close with quality opponents and win away from Louisville. Those bright spots are offset by poor showings that limit their ceiling, including defeats at Arkansas and at Tennessee, repeated losses at Duke, and a home loss to Virginia that expose inconsistency against top competition. The remaining schedule offers clear chances to strengthen the case with another neutral test against Baylor, a road trip to SMU and resume-building trips to North Carolina and Clemson, so a clean finish will cement a high seed while any more bad road results would nudge them downward; in short, enough quality and some true road wins justify placing them near the top of the bracket, but the ugly losses keep them short of the very elite.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3S Carolina St358W104-45
11/6Jackson St341W106-70
11/11Kentucky28W96-88
11/15Ohio221W106-81
11/21(N)Cincinnati51W74-64
11/24E Michigan227W87-46
11/26NJIT305W104-47
12/3@Arkansas18L89-80
12/6(N)Indiana35W87-78
12/13Memphis99W99-73
12/16@Tennessee19L83-62
12/20Montana159W94-54
12/30@California65W90-70
1/2@Stanford74L80-76
1/6Duke3L84-73
1/10Boston College150W75-62
1/13Virginia20L79-70
1/17@Pittsburgh109W100-59
1/24Virginia Tech64W85-71
1/26@Duke3L83-52
1/31SMU37W88-74
2/4Notre Dame82W76-65
2/7@Wake Forest72W88-80
2/9NC State27W118-77
2/14(N)Baylor4473%
2/17@SMU3757%
2/21Georgia Tech16197%
2/23@North Carolina2952%
2/28@Clemson3355%
3/3Syracuse6789%
3/7@Miami FL4058%