NCAA Tournament March Madness
#10 Louisville
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Projected seed: 4
Louisville’s profile is driven by an explosive offense and a couple of signature victories that prove the ceiling, but it is held back by a damaging road defeat that exposes defensive inconsistencies away from home. The home demolition of Kentucky and the neutral-site win over Indiana show what this team can do in its best moments, yet the loss at Arkansas and the number of true road tests on the remaining slate underline how fragile the ticket looks without quality wins away from home. Trips to Tennessee, Stanford, California and Duke and several high-profile neutral matchups give Louisville clear chances to add the kind of road and neutral victories a committee prizes, while further slips outside its building would amplify the cost of that Arkansas setback.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | S Carolina St | 363 | W104-45 |
| 11/6 | Jackson St | 327 | W106-70 |
| 11/11 | Kentucky | 19 | W96-88 |
| 11/15 | Ohio | 189 | W106-81 |
| 11/21 | (N)Cincinnati | 84 | W74-64 |
| 11/24 | E Michigan | 211 | W87-46 |
| 11/26 | NJIT | 351 | W104-47 |
| 12/3 | @Arkansas | 25 | L89-80 |
| 12/6 | (N)Indiana | 26 | W87-78 |
| 12/13 | Memphis | 74 | 90% |
| 12/16 | @Tennessee | 18 | 50% |
| 12/20 | Montana | 206 | 99% |
| 12/30 | @California | 76 | 77% |
| 1/2 | @Stanford | 90 | 82% |
| 1/6 | Duke | 4 | 49% |
| 1/10 | Boston College | 138 | 97% |
| 1/13 | Virginia | 23 | 75% |
| 1/17 | @Pittsburgh | 117 | 87% |
| 1/24 | Virginia Tech | 62 | 88% |
| 1/26 | @Duke | 4 | 28% |
| 1/31 | SMU | 42 | 83% |
| 2/4 | Notre Dame | 59 | 87% |
| 2/7 | @Wake Forest | 46 | 67% |
| 2/9 | NC State | 28 | 77% |
| 2/14 | (N)Baylor | 35 | 70% |
| 2/17 | @SMU | 42 | 66% |
| 2/21 | Georgia Tech | 133 | 97% |
| 2/23 | @North Carolina | 27 | 55% |
| 2/28 | @Clemson | 31 | 58% |
| 3/3 | Syracuse | 75 | 90% |
| 3/7 | @Miami FL | 37 | 61% |