NCAA Tournament March Madness

#20 Kentucky

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Projection: likely out

Kentucky’s resume reads like a team that can blow past overmatched opponents at home but has yet to prove itself against elite competition away from Rupp, and that contrast is what drives the committee’s take. Convincing wins over mid‑major foes are undermined by a lopsided neutral loss to Gonzaga, another neutral setback to Michigan State and an away defeat at Louisville, while a close home loss to North Carolina highlights inconsistency rather than a clear résumé builder. The remaining schedule gives Kentucky a mix of manageable home and neutral tests against the likes of Indiana and St. John’s plus a brutal conference road gauntlet at Alabama, Tennessee, Vanderbilt, Arkansas and LSU, so the team still has multiple opportunities to manufacture a marquee road victory or, conversely, to pile up more damaging losses. In short, the absence of a genuine signature win, the severity of the neutral-site setbacks and uneven play away from home explain the cautious committee posture, even as forthcoming chances exist to change that view.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4Nicholls St256W77-51
11/7Valparaiso198W107-59
11/11@Louisville14L96-88
11/14E Illinois337W99-53
11/18(N)Michigan St12L83-66
11/21Loyola MD333W88-46
11/26Tennessee Tech262W104-54
12/2North Carolina24L67-64
12/5(N)Gonzaga3L94-59
12/9NC Central350100%
12/13Indiana2162%
12/20(N)St John's1644%
12/23Bellarmine28699%
1/3@Alabama1328%
1/7Missouri5576%
1/10Mississippi St8285%
1/14@LSU3949%
1/17@Tennessee1836%
1/21Texas5076%
1/24Mississippi5176%
1/27@Vanderbilt824%
1/31@Arkansas2943%
2/4Oklahoma5677%
2/7Tennessee1858%
2/14@Florida1529%
2/17Georgia2563%
2/21@Auburn3043%
2/24@South Carolina8669%
2/28Vanderbilt844%
3/3@Texas A&M5255%
3/7Florida1550%