NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Florida

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#13 Florida

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: first four out

Florida’s résumé is anchored by eye-catching neutral-site wins over Miami and Providence and by dominant outings against lesser opponents, while a tight victory over in-state rival Florida State and steady offensive bursts show the ceiling is real. Those positives are tempered by narrow defeats at Duke and by close neutral-site losses to Arizona and Connecticut that highlight competitiveness but also leave little room for error. The schedule still hands Florida a string of true road examinations at Missouri, Oklahoma, Vanderbilt and Kentucky along with high-profile home dates against Tennessee, Alabama and Arkansas that provide clear opportunities to flip those close losses into résumé-makers, and more manageable league games such as South Carolina and Mississippi State give the team chances to avoid damaging setbacks. How Florida performs in those forthcoming road tests and at home will determine whether the slim nonconference defeats read as hard-fought growth or as costly blemishes.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	(N)Arizona	2	L93-87
11/6	North Florida	339	W104-64
11/11	Florida St	109	W78-76
11/16	(N)Miami FL	37	W82-68
11/21	Merrimack	263	W80-45
11/27	(N)TCU	54	L84-80
11/28	(N)Providence	75	W90-78
12/2	@Duke	6	L67-66
12/9	(N)Connecticut	7	L77-73
12/13	(N)G Washington	80	W80-70
12/17	St Francis PA	359	W102-61
12/21	Colgate	186	W90-60
12/29	Dartmouth	253	W94-72
1/3	@Missouri	63	72%
1/6	Georgia	28	73%
1/10	Tennessee	14	63%
1/13	@Oklahoma	53	67%
1/17	@Vanderbilt	8	31%
1/20	LSU	38	78%
1/24	Auburn	34	76%
1/28	@South Carolina	86	77%
2/1	Alabama	16	64%
2/7	@Texas A&M	50	65%
2/10	@Georgia	28	52%
2/11	@Georgia	28	52%
2/14	Kentucky	20	69%
2/17	South Carolina	86	91%
2/21	@Mississippi	57	70%
2/25	@Texas	46	64%
2/28	Arkansas	27	73%
3/3	Mississippi St	79	90%
3/7	@Kentucky	20	48%