NCAA Tournament March Madness

#10 Florida

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Projected seed: 4 (automatic qualifier)

Florida lands where it does because its resume mixes meaningful neutral-site and true road victories with a handful of heartbreaking defeats that keep it on the edge of the upper group. Neutral wins over Miami, Providence and George Washington combined with road victories at Vanderbilt and Oklahoma and strong home performances against Tennessee and Georgia show this team can beat good opponents away from home and impose its will in Gainesville. Those positives are offset by razor-thin losses at Duke and on neutral floors to Arizona, Connecticut and TCU and a tight defeat at Missouri, results that look worse than they play because they are losses against respected teams. The lopsided nonconference victories over lower-level opponents pad the profile but do little to define it. The rest of the league slate offers clear chances to change the picture, with home tests against Auburn and Alabama, trips to South Carolina, Texas A&M and Kentucky and a big home date with Arkansas providing opportunities for a signature win or more resume-building road results that would justify moving up while more missteps would cement the current standing.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3(N)Arizona2L93-87
11/6North Florida343W104-64
11/11Florida St105W78-76
11/16(N)Miami FL37W82-68
11/21Merrimack209W80-45
11/27(N)TCU52L84-80
11/28(N)Providence64W90-78
12/2@Duke3L67-66
12/9(N)Connecticut11L77-73
12/13(N)G Washington74W80-70
12/17St Francis PA357W102-61
12/21Colgate192W90-60
12/29Dartmouth225W94-72
1/3@Missouri55L76-74
1/6Georgia26W92-77
1/10Tennessee23W91-67
1/13@Oklahoma62W96-79
1/17@Vanderbilt15W98-94
1/20LSU42W79-61
1/24Auburn3081%
1/28@South Carolina7280%
2/1Alabama1872%
2/7@Texas A&M3666%
2/10@Georgia2660%
2/11@Georgia2660%
2/14Kentucky2579%
2/17South Carolina7292%
2/21@Mississippi6880%
2/25@Texas4168%
2/28Arkansas2174%
3/3Mississippi St8594%
3/7@Kentucky2560%