NCAA Tournament March Madness

#20 Alabama

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Projected seed: 5

Alabama’s projection is rooted in a resume that pairs explosive offense and signature road and neutral victories with a handful of damaging defeats and clear defensive vulnerability, which is exactly the profile a committee rewards but also weighs cautiously. The Crimson Tide’s best moments — a gritty road win at St John’s, a neutral-site knockout of Illinois, and statement home nights against Kentucky and Arkansas — show they can score with anyone and win outside their building at Oklahoma and Mississippi. Those highs are tempered by bad showings away and on neutral floors against elite opponents such as Purdue, Gonzaga and Arizona and by losses in hostile conference settings at Tennessee and Florida that expose defensive lapses. With home meetings against Mississippi State and a tough finish that includes trips to Tennessee and Georgia and a late test against Auburn, Alabama still has direct opportunities to secure or erode that standing, so the committee would view them as comfortably in the field but not yet bulletproof.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3North Dakota285W91-62
11/8@St John's22W103-96
11/13Purdue7L87-80
11/19(N)Illinois4W90-86
11/24(N)Gonzaga9L95-85
11/25(N)UNLV125W115-76
11/26(N)Maryland128W105-72
12/3Clemson40W90-84
12/7UT San Antonio339W97-55
12/13(N)Arizona3L96-75
12/17South Florida55W104-93
12/21(N)Kennesaw182W92-81
12/29Yale77W102-78
1/3Kentucky31W89-74
1/7@Vanderbilt13L96-90
1/10Texas32L92-88
1/13@Mississippi St90W97-82
1/17@Oklahoma58W83-81
1/24Tennessee14L79-73
1/27Missouri52W90-64
2/1@Florida5L100-77
2/4Texas A&M37W100-97
2/7@Auburn34W96-92
2/11@Mississippi82W93-74
2/14South Carolina92W89-75
2/18Arkansas17W117-115
2/21@LSU53W90-83
2/24Mississippi St9090%
2/25Mississippi St9090%
2/28@Tennessee1437%
3/3@Georgia3854%
3/7Auburn3473%