NCAA Tournament March Madness

#39 LSU

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Projection: first four out

LSU’s résumé shows real upside tempered by troubling gaps: neutral wins over Drake and DePaul and a road victory at Boston College prove the Tigers can win away from home, but a lopsided neutral defeat to Texas Tech and a nonconference schedule packed with easy blowouts against Tarleton State, New Orleans and Florida International leave the resume thin on signature victories. The slate ahead gives clear chances to change the narrative with home dates against Kentucky, Missouri, Arkansas, Alabama, Oklahoma and Texas A&M while a string of difficult road trips to Vanderbilt, Florida, Arkansas, Tennessee, Texas, Auburn and Mississippi threatens to produce damaging losses. Those competing forces — meaningful neutral successes, an ugly loss, a roster of mostly soft wins and a heavy dose of high-leverage remaining games — explain why the team sits in a borderline position with room to move either direction depending on how the SEC run unfolds.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/5Tarleton St195W96-60
11/10New Orleans214W93-58
11/13Florida Intl181W98-81
11/18Alcorn St334W107-81
11/21NE Omaha246W99-73
11/28(N)Drake126W71-62
11/29(N)DePaul130W96-63
12/3@Boston College144W78-69
12/7(N)Texas Tech19L82-58
12/13(N)SMU4050%
12/19SE Louisiana28298%
12/22Prairie View30298%
12/29Southern Miss20095%
1/3@Texas A&M5245%
1/6South Carolina8679%
1/10@Vanderbilt817%
1/14Kentucky2051%
1/17Missouri5568%
1/20@Florida1521%
1/24@Arkansas2934%
1/28Mississippi St8278%
1/31@South Carolina8660%
2/7Georgia2553%
2/10Arkansas2956%
2/14@Tennessee1827%
2/17@Texas5045%
2/21Alabama1339%
2/25@Mississippi5145%
2/28Oklahoma5668%
3/3@Auburn3034%
3/7Texas A&M5267%