NCAA Tournament March Madness

#298 Grambling

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Grambling's resume leaves little margin for an at-large berth, so needing to secure the Southwestern AC automatic spot is a fair projection. The Hornets have bright moments, namely neutral-court wins over Norfolk State and Hampton and a home victory over Southern Miss plus road success at Alcorn State and a split with Jackson State that show they can close out the games they're expected to win. Those positives are overwhelmed by damaging blowouts at major venues like Iowa State and Ohio State and a string of road setbacks at San Diego, Cal Baptist and UC Riverside that produce no marquee road signature for a committee to reward. Conference play includes surprising home losses to Southern University and Arkansas Pine Bluff and additional conference road defeats that further weaken the at-large case. With no meaningful neutral-site wins against high-major opponents and too many poor results away from their building, the clearest path to the NCAA field runs through winning the conference tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6@Iowa St6L102-62
11/9@Howard207W73-70
11/13Southern Miss218W75-70
11/18@San Diego224L78-68
11/21@Cal Baptist106L72-59
11/24@UC Riverside258L83-74
12/2@Tulane211L65-63
12/8@Southern Miss218L68-60
12/18(N)Norfolk St327W80-68
12/19(N)Hampton272W81-72
12/23@Ohio St26L89-63
1/3Prairie View288W76-72
1/5TX Southern316W84-67
1/10@Bethune-Cookman243L74-65
1/12@Florida A&M312L91-84
1/17Southern Univ279L71-53
1/31@Jackson St341W69-66
2/2@Alcorn St346W74-50
2/4Ark Pine Bluff314L67-64
2/7Alabama St318W57-47
2/9Alabama A&M307L66-58
2/14@TX Southern316L82-79
2/16@Prairie View288L68-63
2/21@Southern Univ279L87-73
2/23MS Valley St365W83-62
2/26Bethune-Cookman243L76-71
2/28Florida A&M312L66-59
3/3@Alabama A&M307L77-63
3/5@Alabama St318W65-63
3/9(N)MS Valley St365W77-52
3/10(N)Jackson St341L68-65