NCAA Tournament March Madness

#200 Valparaiso

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Valparaiso’s résumé is a study in contrasts, with a road victory at Cleveland State and a convincing home performance against Western Michigan proving the team can close out games while a lopsided trip to Kentucky and a home loss to Southern Indiana stand out as damaging blemishes a committee will remember. Nonconference wins over Nicholls State, Bryant and Eastern Illinois do little to bolster the top end of the resume, while a narrow defeat at Marquette showed the roster can compete against higher‑level opponents. The remaining slate includes true road tests at Northern Iowa, Belmont and Northwestern plus conference dates against Murray State and Illinois State, so there are clear, meaningful opportunities to establish better road credentials. Avoiding any more bad home results and picking up signature wins on hostile floors is the clearest path to altering how this résumé is viewed.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4E Illinois330W66-63
11/7@Kentucky19L107-59
11/12Nicholls St260W68-63
11/16Bryant306W68-50
11/19@Cleveland St321W90-75
11/26Southern Indiana310L64-56
11/29W Michigan255W84-55
12/2@Marquette98L75-72
12/13UNC Wilmington107L73-70
12/16@Northwestern578%
12/21Murray St9534%
12/29@Northern Iowa9216%
1/1@S Illinois12322%
1/4IL Chicago18859%
1/7Illinois St9935%
1/10@Murray St9516%
1/13@Belmont7912%
1/17Northern Iowa9233%
1/21S Illinois12342%
1/28Belmont7927%
1/31@Indiana St18236%
2/3@Bradley12622%
2/6Evansville28876%
2/9@Drake13125%
2/12@Illinois St9917%
2/15Indiana St18258%
2/18Bradley12642%
2/21@IL Chicago18837%
2/25Drake13145%
2/28@Evansville28855%