NCAA Tournament March Madness

#158 Valparaiso

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Valparaiso’s profile explains the projection because its best moments — a statement home win over W Michigan, road victories at Cleveland State and Drake, and a razor thin showing at Marquette — demonstrate upside but are outweighed by resume damage from a blowout at Kentucky, a heavy loss at Northwestern and a lopsided defeat at Illinois State plus agonizing setbacks to Belmont and Bradley that leave the team with little margin for error. The program showed it can win away from home and even pick up a neutral-site win over Indiana State in the league event, yet the absence of a true marquee nonconference victory and the accumulation of bad losses make an at large case fragile. Given how the season played out the clearest path to the national field is to secure the automatic qualifier.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4E Illinois324W66-63
11/7@Kentucky27L107-59
11/12Nicholls St232W68-63
11/16Bryant355W68-50
11/19@Cleveland St322W90-75
11/26Southern Indiana339L64-56
11/29W Michigan273W84-55
12/2@Marquette86L75-72
12/13UNC Wilmington110L73-70
12/16@Northwestern66L86-70
12/21Murray St120L85-79
12/29@Northern Iowa70L58-48
1/1@S Illinois117L75-70
1/4IL Chicago105W66-59
1/7Illinois St103W77-71
1/10@Murray St120L92-79
1/13@Belmont67L78-74
1/17Northern Iowa70W54-44
1/21S Illinois117W69-63
1/28Belmont67L78-77
1/31@Indiana St200W76-72
2/3@Bradley122L72-65
2/6Evansville307W70-63
2/9@Drake194W81-76
2/12@Illinois St103L86-64
2/15Indiana St200W76-75
2/18Bradley122W79-72
2/21@IL Chicago105W71-67
2/25Drake194W74-71
2/28@Evansville307L80-79
3/5(N)Indiana St200W63-62
3/6(N)Bradley122L90-84