NCAA Tournament March Madness

#157 Valparaiso

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Valparaiso’s standing is logical because the résumé mixes a few clear positives with some hurtful negatives that the committee will notice. The team has shown it can win away with the victory at Cleveland State and it bolstered its profile with a strong nonconference showing against Western Michigan plus home wins over Illinois State and Northern Iowa, but that promise is tempered by a lopsided trip to Kentucky and an upset home loss to Southern Indiana. A run of defeats at places like Marquette, Murray State and Belmont highlights inconsistent road results and close losses at strong mid‑majors, while competitive games against those opponents only go so far when they remain losses. The remaining slate, including the home meeting with Belmont, road tests at Indiana State and Bradley, a rematch at Illinois State and trips to Drake and Evansville, offers clear chances to erase the bad looks and add the kind of road or neutral victories that would change how Valparaiso is evaluated.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4E Illinois306W66-63
11/7@Kentucky28L107-59
11/12Nicholls St231W68-63
11/16Bryant349W68-50
11/19@Cleveland St320W90-75
11/26Southern Indiana322L64-56
11/29W Michigan249W84-55
12/2@Marquette124L75-72
12/13UNC Wilmington117L73-70
12/16@Northwestern60L86-70
12/21Murray St90L85-79
12/29@Northern Iowa107L58-48
1/1@S Illinois136L75-70
1/4IL Chicago135W66-59
1/7Illinois St87W77-71
1/10@Murray St90L92-79
1/13@Belmont64L78-74
1/17Northern Iowa107W54-44
1/21S Illinois136W69-63
1/28Belmont6431%
1/31@Indiana St20950%
2/3@Bradley15037%
2/6Evansville28784%
2/9@Drake15638%
2/12@Illinois St8721%
2/15Indiana St20971%
2/18Bradley15059%
2/21@IL Chicago13533%
2/25Drake15660%
2/28@Evansville28766%