NCAA Tournament March Madness

#102 Liberty

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Projection: likely out

Liberty’s profile is built around a couple of clear positives and some glaring negatives that a committee will notice. The eye-catching road win at Dayton and a neutral-site victory over Vermont show the roster can win away from home, and sweepable home results like the win over Florida Atlantic and the rout of Coppin State pad the résumé without making it elite. Those bright spots are counterbalanced by an embarrassing road defeat at NC State and neutral-site setbacks to Towson and Bradley that leave the resume vulnerable to doubt, especially because there aren’t many signature wins against strong opponents to erase the sting of those losses. The conference stretch ahead includes meaningful tests at Louisiana Tech, WKU, New Mexico State and UTEP and more opportunities at home to clean up the ledger; wins in those venues would flip the narrative by proving consistent road and neutral success, while more losses would harden the perception that the team’s season lacks the high-end wins a committee prizes.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/7Col Charleston173W90-75
11/9FL Atlantic103W88-68
11/24(N)Vermont197W79-73
11/25(N)Towson147L72-69
11/26(N)Bradley122L74-64
12/6Coppin St364W92-50
12/10@NC State24L85-45
12/20@Dayton72W64-61
12/28@Florida Intl180W97-94
1/2Kennesaw16076%
1/4Jacksonville St22085%
1/8@Louisiana Tech17660%
1/10@Sam Houston St11644%
1/15New Mexico St13070%
1/17UTEP22686%
1/21@WKU15755%
1/24Delaware29592%
1/28@MTSU14553%
2/4@Delaware29580%
2/7Missouri St23987%
2/11@New Mexico St13048%
2/14@UTEP22669%
2/19Florida Intl18080%
2/21WKU15776%
2/26@Kennesaw16056%
2/28@Jacksonville St22068%
3/5Louisiana Tech17680%
3/7Sam Houston St11666%