NCAA Tournament March Madness
#181 MTSU
Bubble Watch | Bracketology
Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?
Projection: need to automatically qualify
MTSU’s résumé contains enough bright spots to keep hope alive but also enough damaging results that the clearest path to the field runs through the conference tournament. A neutral-site victory over Murray State and road wins at New Mexico State and Evansville along with a statement home victory over Louisiana Tech show the program can win away from home and on a stage. Heavy losses at Michigan and Houston and uncomfortable defeats to Belmont and Liberty plus close setbacks at Delaware and UTEP blunt those positives and will leave committee members wary. Upcoming road tests at WKU and Missouri State and home chances against Delaware and UTEP are clear opportunities to repair the profile but unless those chances are seized the automatic berth is the most certain outcome.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/12 | @Evansville | 297 | W77-72 |
| 11/19 | @Michigan | 1 | L86-61 |
| 11/23 | (N)Murray St | 108 | W90-87 |
| 11/24 | (N)G Washington | 77 | L92-79 |
| 11/25 | (N)McNeese St | 64 | L72-62 |
| 12/1 | UAB | 120 | W76-61 |
| 12/7 | Belmont | 61 | L83-62 |
| 12/17 | Kennesaw | 182 | W68-67 |
| 12/29 | @Houston | 4 | L69-60 |
| 1/2 | Louisiana Tech | 237 | W88-51 |
| 1/4 | Sam Houston St | 110 | W68-67 |
| 1/8 | @UTEP | 264 | L83-80 |
| 1/10 | @New Mexico St | 165 | W59-55 |
| 1/14 | @Louisiana Tech | 237 | L59-58 |
| 1/17 | Missouri St | 215 | W90-87 |
| 1/23 | @Jacksonville St | 211 | L75-58 |
| 1/29 | Liberty | 89 | L81-65 |
| 1/31 | WKU | 174 | L65-60 |
| 2/4 | Florida Intl | 202 | L88-84 |
| 2/7 | @Delaware | 267 | L89-88 |
| 2/12 | @Kennesaw | 182 | W90-87 |
| 2/14 | @WKU | 174 | 38% |
| 2/18 | @Sam Houston St | 110 | 23% |
| 2/21 | Delaware | 267 | 77% |
| 2/26 | UTEP | 264 | 77% |
| 2/28 | New Mexico St | 165 | 58% |
| 3/5 | @Florida Intl | 202 | 42% |
| 3/7 | @Missouri St | 215 | 45% |