NCAA Tournament March Madness

#178 MTSU

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

MTSU's profile has eye‑catching moments and alarming lapses, which is why the safe path to the NCAA tournament runs through the Conference USA automatic bid. They proved they can win away from home with road victories at New Mexico State and Missouri State and picked up a neutral‑site win over Murray State while beating UAB at home, yet those signature results are offset by blowout trips to Michigan and Houston and damaging losses to Belmont, Liberty and WKU plus baffling setbacks to Jacksonville State and Florida International. The road and neutral resume is inconsistent; the Blue Raiders can beat respectable opponents away but have also dropped games at league venues and to low‑end teams, leaving their at‑large case thin. Given that balance of quality wins and bad losses, the most realistic route for MTSU into the field is to secure the conference’s automatic berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/12@Evansville308W77-72
11/19@Michigan3L86-61
11/23(N)Murray St122W90-87
11/24(N)G Washington85L92-79
11/25(N)McNeese St68L72-62
12/1UAB127W76-61
12/7Belmont69L83-62
12/17Kennesaw163W68-67
12/29@Houston5L69-60
1/2Louisiana Tech203W88-51
1/4Sam Houston St111W68-67
1/8@UTEP276L83-80
1/10@New Mexico St184W59-55
1/14@Louisiana Tech203L59-58
1/17Missouri St206W90-87
1/23@Jacksonville St209L75-58
1/29Liberty125L81-65
1/31WKU170L65-60
2/4Florida Intl194L88-84
2/7@Delaware293L89-88
2/12@Kennesaw163W90-87
2/14@WKU170L82-80
2/18@Sam Houston St111L78-70
2/21Delaware293W78-66
2/26UTEP276W77-67
2/28New Mexico St184W86-85
3/5@Florida Intl194W73-67
3/7@Missouri St206W75-63
3/12(N)Louisiana Tech203L80-69