NCAA Tournament March Madness

#78 Dayton

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: likely out

Dayton’s profile shows it can beat quality opponents, with a road victory at Marquette, a neutral-site win over Georgetown, and a statement home effort against Florida State, but those resume builders are swamped by damaging setbacks, including the blowout trip to St Louis, road losses at La Salle and St Joseph’s, a puzzling home defeat to Liberty, and neutral-site setbacks to BYU and Virginia that denied the program the signature wins it needed away from Dayton. Because the team never piled up consistent road and neutral victories and the Atlantic Ten tournament run failed to erase the worst results, the body of work reads as inconsistent rather than resume-building. With no remaining opportunities to flip that narrative, the committee view is likely to leave Dayton on the outside looking in.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Canisius342W88-48
11/8UMBC185W77-71
11/11@Cincinnati44L74-62
11/15Bethune-Cookman243W91-82
11/19@Marquette84W77-71
11/22NC Central352W74-55
11/27(N)Georgetown79W84-79
11/28(N)BYU23L83-79
12/2ETSU167W88-71
12/6(N)Virginia13L86-73
12/13North Florida335W84-61
12/16Florida St56W97-69
12/20Liberty125L64-61
12/31Fordham166W63-56
1/3@Loyola-Chicago280W70-68
1/6G Washington85W79-72
1/13@Duquesne128W71-65
1/16Loyola-Chicago280W78-51
1/21@La Salle233L67-64
1/24@St Joseph's PA116L81-74
1/27Rhode Island135L81-76
1/30@St Louis41L102-71
2/3St Bonaventure139W72-70
2/6@VCU45L99-73
2/15Davidson114W70-59
2/18@George Mason96W82-67
2/21Duquesne128W78-66
2/24St Louis41W77-62
2/27@G Washington85W68-66
3/3@Richmond160W65-60
3/6VCU45L68-62
3/13(N)St Bonaventure139W68-63
3/14(N)St Louis41W70-69
3/15(N)VCU45L70-62