NCAA Tournament March Madness

#128 Duquesne

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

This projection tracks with Duquesne’s résumé because it combines genuine road and neutral wins that prove the team can win away from home with a pattern of damaging losses and soft nonconference results that weaken its at-large case. The Dukes beat Davidson on the road and won at Loyola-Chicago and at George Mason while picking up a neutral victory over Rhode Island and knocking off George Washington at home, showing they can grind out wins in hostile settings. Those highs are countered by road defeats at Villanova, Boise State and Nevada and troubling home setbacks to VCU, St Louis and Dayton that tell a selection committee the team still struggles against top opposition. Better results come largely against middling conference opponents and the nonconference slate is padded with low-major wins that do little to erase the blemishes. The clearest way to alter the projection is a run in the conference tournament where neutral-court victories over the likes of VCU or Rhode Island would replace damaging losses with the sort of quality wins a committee rewards.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Niagara338W83-63
11/7Sacred Heart296W92-80
11/11Queens NC181W87-81
11/15@Villanova33L87-77
11/19Loyola MD322W92-78
11/22(N)Northeastern286L93-86
12/2William & Mary149L83-79
12/6Stony Brook227W84-75
12/10@Boise St62L86-64
12/13@Nevada75L78-75
12/22Canisius342W103-59
12/30@Davidson114W89-83
1/3VCU45L93-80
1/7@St Joseph's PA116L97-90
1/13Dayton78L71-65
1/17@Fordham166W74-63
1/20St Louis41L81-77
1/24@Loyola-Chicago280W71-59
1/28St Bonaventure139L87-79
2/1Rhode Island135W76-61
2/4@George Mason96W71-65
2/7G Washington85W88-86
2/14@St Bonaventure139W78-73
2/18La Salle233W62-61
2/21@Dayton78L78-66
2/25Davidson114L67-56
2/28@St Louis41L91-76
3/4@Rhode Island135L64-52
3/7Richmond160W79-77
3/12(N)Rhode Island135W67-61
3/13(N)VCU45L71-66