NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Niagara

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#355 Niagara

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Niagara’s résumé is defined by a couple of expected nonconference wins at Binghamton and at home against Delaware State and a string of crushing losses on the road and neutral sites, the most damaging being the blowout at Duke and tough defeats at VCU, Siena, and Saint Peter’s that leave very little in the way of quality wins to point to. The schedule strength is thin outside of those marquee losses, and the team has shown it struggles away from its own arena, so the resume currently reads like a low‑major club that hasn’t yet beaten a recognized high‑major opponent. Fortunately there is still time to change that narrative with conference play; trips to Iona and Quinnipiac and road tests at Manhattan and Canisius, plus home opportunities against the likes of Canisius and Mt. St. Mary’s, are the moments that would matter most to a committee. Until Niagara secures meaningful wins away from home against better league foes, however, the heavy nonconference setbacks and the lack of signature victories will continue to define its standing.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	@Duquesne	131	L83-63
11/8	@Binghamton	363	W67-59
11/10	Delaware St	354	W68-57
11/17	@Le Moyne	307	L74-68
11/21	@Duke	6	L100-42
11/22	(N)Howard	267	L80-70
11/29	Detroit	294	L70-66
12/5	@Siena	176	L83-54
12/7	@St Peter's	297	L71-43
12/13	@Morgan St	362	L81-73
12/15	@VCU	42	L84-58
1/2	Sacred Heart	273	32%
1/4	Fairfield	275	32%
1/9	@Iona	171	6%
1/11	@Manhattan	314	23%
1/14	@Canisius	347	33%
1/19	Mt St Mary's	302	39%
1/22	@Fairfield	275	15%
1/24	@Sacred Heart	273	15%
1/30	Siena	176	18%
2/1	Marist	151	14%
2/3	Canisius	347	54%
2/7	@Quinnipiac	156	5%
2/13	Manhattan	314	43%
2/15	Iona	171	17%
2/20	@Mt St Mary's	302	20%
2/22	@Rider	349	34%
2/27	Quinnipiac	156	14%
3/1	Merrimack	272	32%