NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Niagara

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#356 Niagara

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projected seed: 13 (automatic qualifier)

Niagara’s resume is propped up by a handful of modest victories, including a tough road win at Binghamton and home wins over Delaware State and Sacred Heart, but those positives are overshadowed by lopsided losses at high‑major opponents such as Duke and VCU and by a string of damaging conference road defeats at Siena, St Peter’s, Iona and Fairfield. The team has struggled to prove itself away from home or on neutral floors, leaving its quality wins thin while the bad losses loom large in the eye of a selector who values road and signature victories. Upcoming conference chances at Canisius and Quinnipiac along with home tests against Canisius, Mt St Mary’s and Iona are clear opportunities to repair the profile with meaningful wins, yet until those results arrive the balance of brutal losses and only modest scalps explains the cautious outlook.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	@Duquesne	140	L83-63
11/8	@Binghamton	361	W67-59
11/10	Delaware St	355	W68-57
11/17	@Le Moyne	286	L74-68
11/21	@Duke	8	L100-42
11/22	(N)Howard	287	L80-70
11/29	Detroit	271	L70-66
12/5	@Siena	182	L83-54
12/7	@St Peter's	256	L71-43
12/13	@Morgan St	363	L81-73
12/15	@VCU	46	L84-58
1/2	Sacred Heart	291	W64-61
1/4	Fairfield	273	L83-75
1/9	@Iona	199	L71-53
1/11	@Manhattan	316	L79-70
1/14	@Canisius	338	29%
1/19	Mt St Mary's	304	39%
1/22	@Fairfield	273	15%
1/24	@Sacred Heart	291	18%
1/30	Siena	182	17%
2/1	Marist	129	11%
2/3	Canisius	338	50%
2/7	@Quinnipiac	151	5%
2/13	Manhattan	316	42%
2/15	Iona	199	19%
2/20	@Mt St Mary's	304	20%
2/22	@Rider	353	36%
2/27	Quinnipiac	151	13%
3/1	Merrimack	244	27%