NCAA Tournament March Madness

#280 Fairfield

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fairfield’s profile is defined by a handful of sturdy away and neutral wins that show the team can close out games away from home — think the victory at NJIT and the high-scoring trip to Le Moyne — but those positives are offset by damaging nonconference setbacks at Penn State, Seton Hall, and Columbia that expose defensive volatility and weaken its résumé against higher-tier opponents. The MAAC slate gives Fairfield several home games against manageable opponents such as Rider and Niagara where it can build a cleaner body of work, while a cluster of road tests at Canisius, Niagara, Iona, Quinnipiac, Siena, and St Peter’s represents the critical chance to prove it can win in hostile environments. How the team balances winnable home dates with a few necessary road upsets will determine whether the signature wins it already has are persuasive enough to overcome the high-profile losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Penn St129L76-68
11/8@NJIT355W74-53
11/10@Seton Hall47L82-59
11/14Stonehill344W73-71
11/16Loyola MD334W85-82
11/22@Le Moyne302W97-83
11/26Columbia136L106-77
11/30New Hampshire330W72-68
12/5@Manhattan310L70-66
12/7@Merrimack259L74-63
12/14Monmouth NJ245W73-65
12/18@Central Conn274W84-70
12/29St Peter's292L70-66
1/2@Canisius34659%
1/4@Niagara35666%
1/9Rider35081%
1/14Manhattan31069%
1/17@Marist15417%
1/19@Siena17521%
1/22Niagara35683%
1/24Canisius34679%
1/30@Iona18222%
2/1Quinnipiac15235%
2/5@Sacred Heart28340%
2/7Marist15435%
2/15@St Peter's29241%
2/20Sacred Heart28362%
2/22@Quinnipiac15217%
2/27Siena17541%
3/1Mt St Mary's29764%