NCAA Tournament March Madness

#299 Fairfield

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Fairfield’s profile is a mixed bag that leaves the committee looking for more convincing proofs away from home. The best moments—road wins at NJIT and at Le Moyne and gritty victories over Stonehill and Loyola Maryland—show the team can close out winnable games, but the worst results, notably lopsided losses at Penn State, at Seton Hall and at Columbia and additional defeats at Manhattan and Merrimack, expose clear vulnerabilities on the road. The league schedule gives Fairfield a slice of favorable home dates against Niagara, Canisius and Rider and a home meeting with Mt St Mary’s that are obvious opportunities to rebuild the resume, yet there are also dangerous road tests at Quinnipiac, Siena and Iona where another setback would be costly. From a committee point of view the combination of weak nonconference wins and damaging road losses means the safe path is to dominate the manageable conference slate and pick up a signature road or neutral-court victory to shift the narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Penn St110L76-68
11/8@NJIT348W74-53
11/10@Seton Hall57L82-59
11/14Stonehill343W73-71
11/16Loyola MD333W85-82
11/22@Le Moyne304W97-83
11/26Columbia129L106-77
11/30New Hampshire336W72-68
12/5@Manhattan310L70-66
12/7@Merrimack271L74-63
12/14Monmouth NJ21345%
12/18@Central Conn25931%
12/29St Peter's30663%
1/2@Canisius35261%
1/4@Niagara35160%
1/9Rider34977%
1/14Manhattan31063%
1/17@Marist15716%
1/19@Siena15015%
1/22Niagara35179%
1/24Canisius35280%
1/30@Iona17318%
2/1Quinnipiac15232%
2/5@Sacred Heart28836%
2/7Marist15733%
2/15@St Peter's30641%
2/20Sacred Heart28858%
2/22@Quinnipiac15215%
2/27Siena15032%
3/1Mt St Mary's30763%