NCAA Tournament March Madness

#49 VCU

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

VCU sits on the wrong side of the bubble because its best moments and worst losses create an uneven resume. A neutral-site win over Virginia Tech and a road victory at Rhode Island are the program’s top credentials, yet those are offset by road defeats at NC State and George Mason and neutral losses to Utah State and Vanderbilt that expose inconsistency away from home. The schedule is padded by dominant wins over low-level opponents but losses to New Mexico and Saint Louis keep the resume from climbing. The remainder of the Atlantic Ten slate offers several straightforward chances to repair the profile with home dates against Richmond and George Washington and winnable matchups with Loyola-Chicago and Fordham, but pivotal road tests at Saint Louis and Dayton remain and a road win over a quality conference opponent is the clearest path to reversing the projection.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Wagner328W103-74
11/7(N)Utah St34L80-77
11/12St Peter's234W78-61
11/17@NC State27L85-79
11/22Coppin St364W101-58
11/26(N)South Florida80W78-66
11/27(N)Vanderbilt15L89-74
11/28(N)Virginia Tech56W86-68
12/5Samford257W83-57
12/10New Mexico44L81-78
12/15Niagara354W84-58
12/18American Univ210W105-83
12/22Rider353W100-79
12/31St Bonaventure145W89-82
1/3@Duquesne128W93-80
1/7St Louis29L71-62
1/10@George Mason73L86-80
1/14@Rhode Island111W84-75
1/19St Joseph's PA173W79-72
1/24@Davidson13169%
1/27Richmond11683%
1/30Loyola-Chicago30998%
2/3@Fordham20082%
2/6Dayton7772%
2/11@La Salle21984%
2/14@Richmond11666%
2/17G Washington7471%
2/20@St Louis2928%
2/28Fordham20093%
3/3George Mason7371%
3/6@Dayton7751%