NCAA Tournament March Madness

#5 Gonzaga

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Projected seed: 2

Gonzaga's projection rests on a nonconference body of work that combines marquee neutral wins over Alabama and Maryland with comfortable home victories against Oklahoma and Creighton and a true road triumph at Arizona State, showing it can beat quality opponents in multiple environments. That impressive stretch is tempered by a damaging neutral loss to Michigan, a single glaring blemish that keeps the ceiling from being untouchable. The conference slate should supply plenty of expected results against Pepperdine, San Diego and Pacific while also offering meaningful chances to bolster the resume in neutral tests against Kentucky, UCLA and Oregon and on tough road trips to St. Mary’s, Santa Clara and San Francisco. In short, strong signature wins, one severe setback, and remaining opportunities to add or diminish resume value explain why the projection treats Gonzaga as a top-tier but not invulnerable team.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3TX Southern324W98-43
11/8Oklahoma63W83-68
11/11Creighton60W90-63
11/14@Arizona St86W77-65
11/17Southern Utah327W122-50
11/24(N)Alabama10W95-85
11/25(N)Maryland94W100-61
11/26(N)Michigan1L101-61
12/5(N)Kentucky1256%
12/7North Florida334100%
12/13(N)UCLA3473%
12/17Campbell21099%
12/21(N)Oregon8287%
12/28@Pepperdine23897%
12/30@San Diego24798%
1/2Seattle11196%
1/4Loy Marymount12196%
1/8Santa Clara5388%
1/15@Washington St16395%
1/17@Seattle11188%
1/21Pepperdine23899%
1/24San Francisco6991%
1/31St Mary's CA2980%
2/4@Portland25298%
2/7@Oregon St19396%
2/10Washington St16398%
2/14@Santa Clara5373%
2/18@San Francisco6977%
2/21Pacific13998%
2/25Portland25299%
2/28@St Mary's CA2961%