NCAA Tournament March Madness

#120 Pacific

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: likely out

Pacific projects outside because its résumé offers a few bright spots but is marred by damaging blemishes and a thin list of true resume-changing wins. The highs include statement neutral-site victories over Stony Brook and Jacksonville and splitting with Oregon State while collecting a road triumph there and road wins at Cal State Fullerton and Air Force. The lows are hard to ignore, most notably the blowout at BYU and the lopsided loss at Florida Atlantic plus concerning road defeats at Santa Clara and Portland that underline how vulnerable this team is away from home. The stretch ahead gives Pacific chances to pile up wins at home against the likes of Seattle and Portland and to beat middling conference foes, yet there are only a couple of genuine tests on the road at San Francisco, at Gonzaga and the trip to St. Mary’s that could salvage the profile. Because signature victories are scarce and the worst losses sit on the résumé, committee logic points toward exclusion unless Pacific turns one of those remaining road tests into a headline win.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Nevada65L78-77
11/12Long Beach St229W69-66
11/15@CS Fullerton202W85-73
11/20@FL Atlantic93L82-59
11/24(N)Stony Brook258W86-58
11/25(N)Jacksonville286W68-53
11/29CS Sacramento282W68-54
12/3@Air Force340W80-65
12/6@California75L67-61
12/16@BYU14L93-57
12/21Nicholls St228W95-82
12/28@San Diego201L66-54
12/30@Loy Marymount155L80-71
1/2Oregon St226W84-53
1/4Pepperdine267W74-69
1/8@Portland196L90-89
1/10San Diego201W77-70
1/14@Santa Clara43L85-69
1/17@Oregon St226W81-64
1/24Seattle12362%
1/28Portland19678%
1/31@San Francisco10635%
2/4Santa Clara4331%
2/7@Pepperdine26771%
2/11Loy Marymount15570%
2/14St Mary's CA3225%
2/18@Washington St15147%
2/21@Gonzaga73%
2/28San Francisco10657%