NCAA Tournament March Madness

#191 Portland

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland’s placement is logical because a handful of eye-catching offensive nights at Cal State Fullerton and Long Beach State and the road win at Loyola Marymount are real positives but they are overwhelmed by ugly losses at Wyoming, at Oregon, at Stanford and at St. Mary’s that signal vulnerability away from home and leave the résumé short on marquee road or neutral victories. The season has produced too many damaging defeats to sell an at‑large case, and the remaining slate only offers a few realistic paths to change that perception, most notably the rare home date with Gonzaga and a string of true road tests at Pacific, Washington State and San Diego. Unless Portland turns one of those remaining chances into a signature win or wins the conference tournament the committee is likely to view the body of work as needing the automatic berth rather than being secure on its own.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6Ark Pine Bluff309W83-74
11/9UC Davis163W67-63
11/15@Wyoming108L93-56
11/21CS Fullerton186W103-85
11/22N Colorado188L86-80
11/23St Thomas MN129L76-66
11/26Long Beach St234W93-73
12/1@Stanford79L94-72
12/14Kent143W88-78
12/17@Oregon91L94-69
12/22@UC Santa Barbara137L79-61
12/28Washington St146L67-62
12/30Santa Clara43L92-85
1/2@St Mary's CA34L78-57
1/4@San Francisco100L73-68
1/8Pacific115W90-89
1/10Oregon St221W82-76
1/14@Pepperdine273L67-63
1/17@Loy Marymount155W71-58
1/24St Mary's CA34L75-69
1/28@Pacific11523%
1/31@Washington St14630%
2/4Gonzaga95%
2/7Seattle12045%
2/11@San Diego19941%
2/18Pepperdine27376%
2/21@Seattle12025%
2/25@Gonzaga91%
2/28San Diego19963%