NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Portland

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#230 Portland

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?

Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland’s profile features eye-catching offensive nights at home against Cal State Fullerton, Long Beach State and UC Davis that serve as the bright spots on the resume, but those victories are largely overwhelmed by lopsided road defeats at Wyoming, Stanford and Oregon and by losses at St Mary’s and San Francisco that make clear the team struggles away from its arena. Without a marquee win over a top conference rival, the heavy losses carry extra weight and keep the résumé from looking like a comfortable at-large case, so the remaining slate — most notably the home date with Gonzaga and road trips to Pepperdine and Loyola Marymount along with rematches against Pacific and Washington State — represents the only straightforward path to changing perception. Until Portland proves it can win meaningful games on the road or knock off a premier league opponent at home, the good offensive nights read like isolated high points rather than evidence of consistent resume-building.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/6	Ark Pine Bluff	320	W83-74
11/9	UC Davis	172	W67-63
11/15	@Wyoming	97	L93-56
11/21	CS Fullerton	232	W103-85
11/22	N Colorado	171	L86-80
11/23	St Thomas MN	139	L76-66
11/26	Long Beach St	242	W93-73
12/1	@Stanford	84	L94-72
12/14	Kent	140	W88-78
12/17	@Oregon	77	L94-69
12/22	@UC Santa Barbara	165	L79-61
12/28	Washington St	153	L67-62
12/30	Santa Clara	55	L92-85
1/2	@St Mary's CA	28	L78-57
1/4	@San Francisco	100	L73-68
1/8	Pacific	129	39%
1/10	Oregon St	223	60%
1/14	@Pepperdine	253	45%
1/17	@Loy Marymount	125	20%
1/24	St Mary's CA	28	9%
1/28	@Pacific	129	20%
1/31	@Washington St	153	26%
2/4	Gonzaga	5	2%
2/7	Seattle	111	34%
2/11	@San Diego	215	37%
2/18	Pepperdine	253	67%
2/21	@Seattle	111	16%
2/25	@Gonzaga	5	1%
2/28	San Diego	215	59%