NCAA Tournament March Madness

#244 Portland

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland’s résumé is anchored by comfortable wins over mid-major opponents like UC Davis, Long Beach State, and Cal State Fullerton but those positive moments are dwarfed by crushing road losses at Wyoming and Stanford and surprising setbacks to Northern Colorado and St. Thomas that signal vulnerability away from home. The schedule so far shows a team that can score in friendly settings yet struggles to protect leads and to finish on tougher floors, which is why signature victories are hard to find. A string of upcoming conference tests — including trips to Oregon, UC Santa Barbara and St. Mary’s plus a home date with Gonzaga — represent the kinds of road and neutral chances that would validate the good nonconference results, while additional slip-ups in conference play would reinforce the doubts raised by the early blowouts.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6Ark Pine Bluff347W83-74
11/9UC Davis166W67-63
11/15@Wyoming97L93-56
11/21CS Fullerton279W103-85
11/22N Colorado162L86-80
11/23St Thomas MN160L76-66
11/26Long Beach St265W93-73
12/1@Stanford90L94-72
12/14Kent12835%
12/17@Oregon9110%
12/22@UC Santa Barbara14020%
12/28Washington St17548%
12/30Santa Clara6617%
1/2@St Mary's CA323%
1/4@San Francisco9411%
1/8Pacific12334%
1/10Oregon St18049%
1/14@Pepperdine29549%
1/17@Loy Marymount13719%
1/24St Mary's CA329%
1/28@Pacific12317%
1/31@Washington St17527%
2/4Gonzaga31%
2/7Seattle10930%
2/11@San Diego25741%
2/18Pepperdine29570%
2/21@Seattle10914%
2/25@Gonzaga30%
2/28San Diego25763%