NCAA Tournament March Madness

#245 Portland

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Portland’s résumé is anchored by comfortable wins over mid-major opponents like UC Davis, Long Beach State, and Cal State Fullerton but those positive moments are dwarfed by crushing road losses at Wyoming and Stanford and surprising setbacks to Northern Colorado and St. Thomas that signal vulnerability away from home. The schedule so far shows a team that can score in friendly settings yet struggles to protect leads and to finish on tougher floors, which is why signature victories are hard to find. A string of upcoming conference tests — including trips to Oregon, UC Santa Barbara and St. Mary’s plus a home date with Gonzaga — represent the kinds of road and neutral chances that would validate the good nonconference results, while additional slip-ups in conference play would reinforce the doubts raised by the early blowouts.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/6Ark Pine Bluff347W83-74
11/9UC Davis191W67-63
11/15@Wyoming93L93-56
11/21CS Fullerton249W103-85
11/22N Colorado160L86-80
11/23St Thomas MN142L76-66
11/26Long Beach St263W93-73
12/1@Stanford90L94-72
12/14Kent12836%
12/17@Oregon829%
12/22@UC Santa Barbara14722%
12/28Washington St17048%
12/30Santa Clara6518%
1/2@St Mary's CA323%
1/4@San Francisco9612%
1/8Pacific12434%
1/10Oregon St16947%
1/14@Pepperdine28447%
1/17@Loy Marymount13419%
1/24St Mary's CA329%
1/28@Pacific12417%
1/31@Washington St17027%
2/4Gonzaga31%
2/7Seattle11031%
2/11@San Diego25240%
2/18Pepperdine28468%
2/21@Seattle11015%
2/25@Gonzaga30%
2/28San Diego25262%