NCAA Tournament March Madness

#75 California

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: likely out

California’s résumé has flashes that catch the eye and holes that keep a selection committee uneasy: a neutral-site victory over UCLA and solid wins like Utah and Notre Dame show the team can beat respected opponents, but those highlights are swamped by damaging results such as the lopsided home loss to Louisville and heavy road defeats at Virginia and Duke, while a close trip to Kansas State does little to erase the broader pattern. Many wins came against low-major opposition like Cal State Bakersfield and Cal State Fullerton and therefore carry limited resume value, and the team’s lack of signature road or neutral wins beyond the UCLA result weakens its case. The slate ahead offers clear opportunities to change the narrative with true road tests at Stanford, Florida State and Miami and key home chances against Georgia Tech and Pittsburgh, yet until those opportunities produce quality wins California’s profile reads like a team that has undercut its own best moments with too many damaging losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3CS Bakersfield306W87-60
11/6Wright St146W77-67
11/10CS Fullerton202W93-65
11/13@Kansas St84L99-96
11/18Presbyterian274W67-57
11/21CS Sacramento282W91-67
11/25(N)UCLA39W80-72
12/2Utah114W79-72
12/6Pacific120W67-61
12/13Northwestern LA287W79-70
12/19Morgan St361W97-50
12/21Columbia168W74-56
12/30Louisville16L90-70
1/2Notre Dame81W72-71
1/7@Virginia12L84-60
1/10@Virginia Tech56L78-75
1/14Duke3L71-56
1/17North Carolina33W84-78
1/24@Stanford7640%
1/28@Florida St10551%
1/31@Miami FL3724%
2/4Georgia Tech12778%
2/7Clemson2838%
2/11@Syracuse7138%
2/14@Boston College14863%
2/21Stanford7662%
2/25SMU3140%
2/28Pittsburgh9869%
3/4@Georgia Tech12758%
3/7@Wake Forest7037%