NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Providence

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#58 Providence

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

Providence sits on the outside because its résumé mixes tidy home and midlevel nonconference wins with damaging results away from campus and a neutral loss that reads poorly, and the offense has flashed while the defense has been a recurring liability. The neutral defeat to Virginia Tech and the road setback at Colorado stick out as the kind of blemishes committees notice, while the neutral win over Penn State and comfortable home wins like Penn and Holy Cross are helpful but not the marquee, road or neutral signature victories that change perceptions. The rest of the Big East slate offers clear chances to alter the picture with a neutral test against Wisconsin, tough road trips to St John's, Connecticut and Villanova and a sequence of high-profile matchups at home against Villanova and Creighton, yet until Providence picks up a statement result away from its own floor its résumé will look like that of a team that beats middling opposition but still needs a win that proves it can beat the league’s best.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	Holy Cross	336	W89-79
11/8	(N)Virginia Tech	54	L107-101
11/11	Penn	211	W106-81
11/14	@Colorado	85	L97-88
11/18	New Hampshire	355	W98-66
11/22	(N)Penn St	100	W77-65
11/27	(N)Wisconsin	25	33%
12/2	F Dickinson	360	99%
12/6	Rhode Island	95	73%
12/9	Brown	258	95%
12/13	@Butler	48	34%
12/19	Seton Hall	61	62%
1/3	@St John's	16	16%
1/7	Connecticut	13	30%
1/10	@Xavier	89	49%
1/13	Villanova	41	52%
1/16	Creighton	60	61%
1/19	@Marquette	78	45%
1/24	Georgetown	80	67%
1/27	@Connecticut	13	14%
1/30	@Villanova	41	30%
2/4	Butler	48	56%
2/7	DePaul	112	79%
2/11	@Seton Hall	61	40%
2/14	St John's	16	34%
2/21	@DePaul	112	59%
2/24	Xavier	89	71%
2/28	@Creighton	60	39%
3/4	Marquette	78	67%
3/7	@Georgetown	80	45%