NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Providence

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#62 Providence

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

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Projection: likely out

Providence’s résumé reads like an offense that can produce in bunches paired with a defense that has been stretched thin. The program’s best moments are a neutral-site scalp of Penn State and a gritty road victory at St John’s plus comfortable wins over lesser opponents that show they can close games, while the worst moments are the high-scoring collapses in neutral tournaments against Virginia Tech, Wisconsin and Florida and a home loss to Connecticut that exposed how vulnerable they are when the opponent presses pace, along with a tight road defeat at Butler that underlines inconsistency away from home. Those damaging results resonate because they came in prominent settings where defensive steadiness matters most to evaluators. The remaining stretch features meaningful chances to alter the narrative — a trip to Xavier, home dates with Villanova and Creighton and a road test at Connecticut — so quality wins in those venues would change perception, whereas more defensive lapses there will likely lock in the current view.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/3	Holy Cross	329	W89-79
11/8	(N)Virginia Tech	61	L107-101
11/11	Penn	211	W106-81
11/14	@Colorado	80	L97-88
11/18	New Hampshire	334	W98-66
11/22	(N)Penn St	110	W77-65
11/27	(N)Wisconsin	43	L104-83
11/28	(N)Florida	13	L90-78
12/2	F Dickinson	353	W94-64
12/6	Rhode Island	135	W90-71
12/9	Brown	247	W86-79
12/13	@Butler	56	L113-110
12/19	Seton Hall	46	L72-67
1/3	@St John's	23	W77-71
1/7	Connecticut	8	L103-98
1/10	@Xavier	106	55%
1/13	Villanova	25	40%
1/16	Creighton	40	49%
1/19	@Marquette	118	60%
1/24	Georgetown	109	76%
1/27	@Connecticut	8	9%
1/30	@Villanova	25	20%
2/4	Butler	56	59%
2/7	DePaul	111	76%
2/11	@Seton Hall	46	31%
2/14	St John's	23	38%
2/21	@DePaul	111	56%
2/24	Xavier	106	75%
2/28	@Creighton	40	28%
3/4	Marquette	118	79%
3/7	@Georgetown	109	56%