NCAA Tournament March Madness

#222 San Jose St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

San Jose State’s resume tells a simple story: it can win the games it should at home and pick up a useful neutral-site victory, but it has struggled badly in true road tests against high-end opponents and has yet to land a signature win that changes the narrative. The neutral win over Loyola-Chicago and home victories over San Diego and Long Beach State are positives, and a competitive outing at Stanford shows there are quality flashes, but heavy defeats at places like Michigan State, Utah State, New Mexico and Fresno State expose defensive shortcomings and raise questions about consistency away from home. The Mountain West slate still offers clear chances to alter the resume, with reachable home dates against Air Force and UNLV and a return game against New Mexico, while road trips to Nevada and Boise State present make-or-break opportunities to prove this team can win where committees care most. Put together, the body of work balances some respectable wins against a pattern of lopsided losses on the road, which is why the current standing feels grounded in how the team has fared so far and what remains on the schedule.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Utah131L84-75
11/8@UC Santa Barbara163L85-74
11/13@Michigan St12L79-60
11/21Southern Univ257W80-66
11/25(N)Tulsa71L81-51
11/26(N)Loyola-Chicago288W63-51
11/30UC Irvine127L72-63
12/5San Diego217W86-69
12/9Long Beach St245W89-83
12/13Stanford77L86-82
12/20@New Mexico53L88-65
12/30San Diego St50L81-68
1/3@Utah St26L96-78
1/6Fresno St146L70-55
1/10@Grand Canyon9312%
1/13Air Force33685%
1/17UNLV14847%
1/20@Nevada8110%
1/24@Wyoming9513%
1/27Boise St6321%
1/31New Mexico5318%
2/7@Colorado St8812%
2/10@UNLV14826%
2/14Grand Canyon9328%
2/17Nevada8124%
2/21@Boise St638%
2/24@Air Force33668%
2/28Colorado St8826%
3/3@Fresno St14626%
3/7Wyoming9529%