NCAA Tournament March Madness

#196 Tarleton St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Tarleton State’s profile is a blend of encouraging home wins and damaging road defeats that explains its current standing: the road victory at Rice and home wins over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi and Merrimack show the team can close out games, but the lopsided losses at SMU, LSU, Baylor and Cincinnati are hard to overlook and leave no marquee neutral-site win to point to. Most of the résumé’s best results came against lower-tier opposition, so the committee will focus on whether Tarleton can turn its conference slate into resume repair by taking advantage of home dates and by winning the tougher road tests at UT Arlington, Utah Valley and Cal Baptist. Those outcomes will determine whether the positives outweigh the bad losses because quality wins away from home or on neutral floors are the only clear path to shifting the narrative.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@SMU43L96-76
11/5@LSU34L96-60
11/8TAM C. Christi219W85-77
11/11Merrimack277W76-62
11/14@Baylor33L94-81
11/20@Rice210W90-74
12/1@Cincinnati82L76-58
12/16@MS Valley St36594%
12/19Florida A&M34488%
12/29@UT Arlington16634%
1/1Utah Valley8129%
1/3Cal Baptist12744%
1/8Abilene Chr22067%
1/15@Southern Utah31665%
1/17@Utah Tech25249%
1/21@UT Arlington16634%
1/24Abilene Chr22067%
1/29Utah Valley8129%
1/31Utah Tech25271%
2/5@Cal Baptist12724%
2/7@Southern Utah31665%
2/14@Abilene Chr22045%
2/19Southern Utah31683%
2/21Utah Tech25271%
2/26@Utah Valley8113%
2/28@Cal Baptist12724%
3/5UT Arlington16656%