NCAA Tournament March Madness

#214 Tarleton St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Tarleton’s profile reads like a team that can pile up wins against midlevel opponents at home and pick off a road victory at a lesser program, but it is undone by a string of lopsided losses on the road at SMU, LSU, Baylor and Cincinnati that cripple any plausible at-large case. Its best moments—home wins over Texas A&M–Corpus Christi and Merrimack and road successes at Rice and Southern Utah—show it can win away from home and handle lower-tier opposition, yet conference play has featured ugly setbacks to Utah Valley, Utah Tech, Abilene Christian and Cal Baptist along with a run of close defeats that leave too little margin for error. With a final stretch that includes trips to Utah Valley and Cal Baptist and a home date with UT Arlington the team has clear chances to improve perception but those results would have to be convincing to erase the damage from the early blowouts, so the realistic path to the NCAA field runs through winning the Western Athletic automatic berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@SMU33L96-76
11/5@LSU53L96-60
11/8TAM C. Christi189W85-77
11/11Merrimack166W76-62
11/14@Baylor49L94-81
11/20@Rice238W90-74
12/1@Cincinnati47L76-58
12/16@MS Valley St365W88-64
12/19Florida A&M328W78-54
12/29@UT Arlington164W69-63
1/1Utah Valley84L91-85
1/3Cal Baptist127W81-76
1/8Abilene Chr233L84-80
1/15@Southern Utah263L106-105
1/17@Utah Tech177L75-71
1/21@UT Arlington164L71-64
1/29Utah Valley84L83-55
1/31Utah Tech177L65-59
2/5@Cal Baptist127L56-55
2/7@Southern Utah263W62-59
2/14@Abilene Chr233L73-59
2/16Abilene Chr233W65-62
2/19Southern Utah263W78-74
2/21Utah Tech177L80-72
2/26@Utah Valley8412%
2/28@Cal Baptist12722%
3/5UT Arlington16451%