NCAA Tournament March Madness

#187 UTRGV

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

UTRGV’s résumé has a clear narrative: a signature road win at Southern Utah and a steady home victory over Austin Peay show the ceiling, but a string of lopsided losses at high-caliber nonconference stops including Baylor, Boise State and Illinois and road setbacks at San Francisco Austin and Missouri State have done real damage. The brutal nature of those defeats matters more than the handful of decent results because the profile currently lacks big wins away from home or on neutral floors against strong opponents. The remaining conference slate hands the team meaningful opportunities to change that picture with home dates against McNeese State and Houston Christian and road tests at Lamar, Incarnate Word, Nicholls and a very difficult trip to McNeese State where true resume repair would come from road or neutral victories. The projection reflects a team with some credible moments but with damaging losses to overcome and a short window in league play to deliver the kind of road wins committees prize.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Baylor33L96-81
11/8@Southern Utah316W95-72
11/11@Boise St44L85-65
11/22@Missouri St260L74-67
11/24@Illinois9L87-73
12/3@SF Austin143L73-60
12/7Austin Peay192W63-50
12/11UT Arlington16857%
12/16@Lamar22746%
12/29New Orleans21466%
12/31Nicholls St25672%
1/3TAM C. Christi21966%
1/5Incarnate Word19362%
1/10@East Texas A&M29258%
1/12@Northwestern LA30060%
1/17McNeese St7628%
1/19SE Louisiana28176%
1/24@Houston Chr26853%
1/26@TAM C. Christi21944%
1/31@Incarnate Word19340%
2/2Houston Chr26874%
2/7@New Orleans21444%
2/9@Nicholls St25651%
2/14SF Austin14350%
2/16Lamar22768%
2/21@SE Louisiana28155%
2/23@McNeese St7612%
2/28East Texas A&M29278%
3/2Northwestern LA30080%