NCAA Tournament March Madness

#199 UTRGV

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

The projection fits because UTRGV’s résumé pairs a handful of credible moments, such as the road victory at Southern Utah and the home knockout of McNeese State, with a string of damaging setbacks like the heavy losses at Baylor, Boise State and Illinois and a home defeat to UT Arlington, and those bad results overshadow the decent conference wins over Lamar and Incarnate Word; the team has shown it can grind out close league victories and compete away from home in spots, but it lacks enough quality wins against notable opponents and has too many poor showings on the road to be comfortable on the at-large bubble. Remaining games against Houston Christian at home and visits to East Texas A&M and Northwestern Louisiana give UTRGV clear opportunities to build a case, yet the safest path to the NCAA field still runs through winning the conference’s automatic berth.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Baylor48L96-81
11/8@Southern Utah281W95-72
11/11@Boise St69L85-65
11/22@Missouri St206L74-67
11/24@Illinois8L87-73
12/3@SF Austin95L73-60
12/7Austin Peay166W63-50
12/11UT Arlington143L58-50
12/16@Lamar220W83-72
12/29New Orleans215L85-69
12/31Nicholls St228L71-69
1/3TAM C. Christi181L63-59
1/5Incarnate Word237W80-67
1/10@East Texas A&M288L77-69
1/12@Northwestern LA287L64-63
1/17McNeese St66W79-76
1/19SE Louisiana270W68-65
1/24@Houston Chr30060%
1/26@TAM C. Christi18136%
1/31@Incarnate Word23746%
2/2Houston Chr30079%
2/7@New Orleans21542%
2/9@Nicholls St22844%
2/14SF Austin9534%
2/16Lamar22065%
2/21@SE Louisiana27053%
2/23@McNeese St6611%
2/28East Texas A&M28877%
3/2Northwestern LA28777%