NCAA Tournament March Madness

#225 Cal Poly

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Cal Poly’s résumé leaves little margin for an at-large bid so the only realistic path into the NCAA field is winning the Big West tournament. The season’s best moments, like the road victory at Utah and the gritty road win at Seattle along with home triumphs over UC Santa Barbara and UC Irvine, show the team can beat quality opponents and handle league foes at home. Those positives are offset by damaging setbacks, including a heavy loss at UCLA, an earlier blowout at UC Santa Barbara, a neutral-site defeat to SE Missouri State and home losses to teams that figure to be below the at-large line, and that inconsistency on the road and in nonconference play has erased much of the margin for error. Remaining regular-season chances on the road at Hawaii, at UC San Diego and at UC Irvine plus home games against Long Beach State and CS Bakersfield give the team opportunities to build momentum, but without the automatic berth from a conference title the résumé is unlikely to be strong enough to earn an invite.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@USC49L94-64
11/8@Seattle131W73-71
11/12@Colorado St94L93-79
11/14@Montana157L90-82
11/20@Utah127W92-85
11/24@Northern Arizona313L93-87
11/25(N)SE Missouri St231L84-68
12/4@CS Fullerton171W94-91
12/6UC Riverside277L88-84
12/16Montana St150L83-80
12/19@UCLA41L108-87
12/21Idaho179L83-80
1/1UC San Diego113W67-65
1/3@Long Beach St240L74-66
1/8@CS Northridge178L95-90
1/10UC Davis156W84-78
1/15Hawaii91L86-66
1/22@UC Santa Barbara129L107-67
1/24CS Fullerton171L93-78
1/29@CS Bakersfield316W104-79
1/31@UC Riverside277W94-87
2/5CS Northridge178L97-96
2/7@UC Davis156L67-58
2/12UC Irvine118W79-73
2/14UC Santa Barbara129W89-79
2/19@Hawaii9113%
2/20@Hawaii9113%
2/26Long Beach St24064%
2/28@UC San Diego11318%
3/5@UC Irvine11819%
3/7CS Bakersfield31681%