NCAA Tournament March Madness
#247 Coastal Car
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Projection: need to automatically qualify
Coastal Car’s resume explains the projection: it has shown it can win away from home with resume-building victories at Old Dominion and St. Joseph’s and a neutral-site triumph at North Dakota and it swept Winthrop in meaningful games, yet that upside is offset by an ugly blown-out loss at Illinois State and bad defeats away at Grand Canyon and Western Michigan and some damaging home setbacks to Old Dominion and conference rivals that undercut any comfortable at-large case. The best moments prove the team can close tight games on the road and the worst moments look like the kind of profile killers committees penalize, so its safest path is to capture the conference’s automatic spot. The remaining slate still contains multiple clear chances to reshape the resume with home dates against Texas State and Southern Miss and pivotal road opportunities at South Alabama, Georgia State and James Madison plus another chance against Marshall, and those games will determine whether the projection changes.
| Date | Opponent | Ranking | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/3 | @W Michigan | 253 | L76-71 |
| 11/11 | Winthrop | 126 | W72-66 |
| 11/14 | @Jacksonville St | 235 | L74-67 |
| 11/21 | @W Illinois | 355 | W84-64 |
| 11/22 | (N)North Dakota | 308 | W75-58 |
| 11/23 | @Illinois St | 86 | L94-42 |
| 11/30 | Alabama A&M | 301 | W67-60 |
| 12/3 | @SC Upstate | 294 | L85-78 |
| 12/6 | @Winthrop | 126 | W88-84 |
| 12/13 | @Grand Canyon | 82 | L82-61 |
| 12/18 | @Appalachian St | 218 | L67-49 |
| 12/20 | @Old Dominion | 242 | W76-74 |
| 12/22 | @St Joseph's PA | 173 | W68-62 |
| 1/1 | Ga Southern | 244 | L82-81 |
| 1/3 | Georgia St | 277 | L89-71 |
| 1/8 | Old Dominion | 242 | L70-66 |
| 1/10 | Appalachian St | 218 | W67-62 |
| 1/14 | @Marshall | 167 | W85-83 |
| 1/17 | @Ga Southern | 244 | W79-75 |
| 1/22 | Texas St | 271 | 67% |
| 1/24 | Southern Miss | 230 | 58% |
| 1/29 | @South Alabama | 208 | 33% |
| 1/31 | @ULM | 358 | 77% |
| 2/4 | Arkansas St | 154 | 43% |
| 2/7 | Massachusetts | 183 | 49% |
| 2/12 | @Louisiana | 330 | 61% |
| 2/18 | James Madison | 239 | 60% |
| 2/21 | Marshall | 167 | 46% |
| 2/24 | @Georgia St | 277 | 47% |
| 2/27 | @James Madison | 239 | 38% |