NCAA Tournament March Madness

#240 Long Beach St

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

Long Beach State’s résumé has flashes of competence in the conference but is otherwise undermined by a string of bad nonconference and road defeats, so the committee would expect the team to earn its way through the Big West tournament. The season’s best moments include home wins over San Diego and conference victories at CS Northridge and CS Bakersfield plus a win over Cal Poly, but those are dwarfed by lopsided losses at San Diego State, Fresno State and Iowa State and by rough road outings at Portland and UC Davis. A set of tight losses to Pacific, Illinois State, Montana State and UC Santa Barbara shows the team can compete yet those near misses do not substitute for a signature neutral or true road victory. With the remaining schedule offering mostly ordinary conference tests and a couple of difficult trips that are unlikely to transform the résumé, the practical path to the national tournament runs through the conference’s automatic qualifier.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/4@San Diego St42L77-45
11/8@Fresno St121L82-62
11/12@Pacific105L69-66
11/16Illinois St89L82-80
11/21Montana St150L78-72
11/26@Portland200L93-73
11/30San Diego215W76-72
12/4@UC Santa Barbara129L84-77
12/6UC San Diego113L80-74
12/9@San Jose St256L89-83
12/18Pepperdine274W81-78
12/21@Iowa St7L91-60
1/3Cal Poly225W74-66
1/8@UC Irvine118L74-64
1/10CS Bakersfield316W81-75
1/15UC Riverside277W88-73
1/17@CS Northridge178W87-80
1/22@CS Fullerton171L71-61
1/24UC Santa Barbara129L74-71
1/29@UC Riverside277L71-61
1/31Hawaii91L89-82
2/5@UC San Diego113L77-74
2/12CS Fullerton171L86-82
2/14@UC Davis156L71-54
2/19UC Irvine11835%
2/21CS Northridge17848%
2/26@Cal Poly22536%
2/28@CS Bakersfield31659%
3/5UC Davis15644%
3/7@Hawaii9111%
3/8@Hawaii9111%