NCAA Tournament March Madness

#324 Air Force

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Air Force’s profile is built on comfortable home wins over low-major opponents such as Alabama State, SIUE, and IUPUI while its few chances against quality teams produced damaging defeats, most notably at Belmont and at San Diego State, and a road setback at Navy that underlines how thin its resume is away from home. The defense has shown moments of resilience but the offense has yet to deliver a signature victory, so the committee will see a ledger heavy on losses to better opponents and few neutral or road wins to offset them. The Mountain West schedule still offers meaningful opportunities, from road trips to San Jose State, Boise State, and Colorado State to home dates with Fresno State, UNLV, and San Diego State, and those results will determine whether the Falcons can erase earlier poor showings. Until they pick up a marquee road or neutral triumph or make a deep run when the conference tournament begins, their current profile leaves them needing a clear, head-turning accomplishment to change how they are viewed.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Belmont71L79-63
11/8Austin Peay191L74-54
11/11LIU Brooklyn204L76-72
11/15Miami OH106L76-61
11/19Alabama St287W66-64
11/21SIUE251W77-63
11/23IUPUI345W98-85
11/26N Colorado150L71-53
11/29(N)South Dakota282L80-63
12/3Pacific142L80-65
12/7@Navy202L61-56
12/17@San Diego St51L81-58
12/30Wyoming9712%
1/3@UNLV1419%
1/6Utah St313%
1/10New Mexico708%
1/13@San Jose St20016%
1/17Nevada668%
1/20@Colorado St894%
1/24@Boise St521%
1/31Fresno St16927%
2/3@Grand Canyon954%
2/7San Diego St515%
2/10Colorado St8911%
2/14@Fresno St16912%
2/17@New Mexico703%
2/21UNLV14122%
2/24San Jose St20033%
2/28@Wyoming974%
3/3Grand Canyon9512%
3/7@Nevada662%