NCAA Tournament March Madness

#149 Arkansas St

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Arkansas State’s resume points to winning the Sun Belt tournament as the clearest route to the NCAA field because the profile lacks signature victories and features several damaging results away from home. The team’s best moments include gritty road wins at Ohio and Missouri State and dominant home sessions against Bowling Green and ULM that show offensive upside, yet those positives are overshadowed by ugly losses at St Mary’s and at SMU and a collection of poor road outcomes that weaken the résumé. Tight defeats at Rice, Georgia State and Old Dominion make the ledger messy rather than résumé-enhancing, and the remaining regular-season opportunities against Louisiana, Southern Miss and ULM are useful for conference seeding but are unlikely to produce the kind of marquee scalp the committee prizes. With limited chance to add a true quality win before the league tournament, the safest path to the bracket for Arkansas State is to secure the automatic bid.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Ohio220W89-85
11/7@SF Austin85L90-65
11/11@Missouri St216W86-85
11/19@St Mary's CA32L85-72
11/21@SMU38L100-69
11/24Jacksonville St210W74-63
11/28N Dakota St124W85-80
12/2UT Arlington167W83-63
12/6@Ark Little Rock307W90-78
12/13@Rice232L77-76
12/17@Texas St244W89-70
12/20@Southern Miss241W93-86
1/3James Madison222L78-74
1/7Troy137W86-74
1/10Texas St244W83-82
1/15@South Alabama195L91-87
1/17@Troy137L99-74
1/22@Ga Southern279W85-68
1/24@Georgia St293L82-81
1/28Old Dominion242L75-71
1/31Marshall170L70-61
2/4@Coastal Car233W70-66
2/7Bowling Green139W91-54
2/11ULM354W103-70
2/14South Alabama195L92-88
2/19@Louisiana30673%
2/21@ULM35487%
2/24Southern Miss24178%
2/27Louisiana30688%