NCAA Tournament March Madness

#217 FGCU

Bubble Watch | Bracketology

Chat with the Bracketologist | How does this work?


Projection: need to automatically qualify

FGCU’s body of work leaves little margin for error and makes an automatic conference berth the clearest path to the NCAA tournament. Their best moments — a road victory at Samford and quality wins over Chattanooga, Rice, and Oral Roberts — show they can beat respectable opponents, but those are offset by damaging setbacks such as the lopsided loss at Illinois and heavy road defeats at New Mexico and UCF that exposed recurring defensive problems, plus league losses at Lipscomb and Austin Peay that weakened their standing inside the conference. The remaining schedule presents opportunities to repair the résumé with road tests at Eastern Kentucky and Bellarmine and multiple chances against North Florida, Stetson, and Jacksonville, yet committee voters prize road and neutral wins over strong teams and FGCU still lacks that signature resume-changing victory. Without a deep run to secure the automatic bid their case for an at-large spot will be hard to make.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/7@Illinois5L113-70
11/11Ga Southern263L95-94
11/15Chattanooga289W91-73
11/19@Samford240W77-62
11/24Oral Roberts333W93-88
11/25Rice237W78-63
11/26Kennesaw154L102-100
12/3@Florida Intl196L89-83
12/7FL Atlantic110L81-76
12/14@New Mexico44L75-59
12/20@UCF45L102-80
1/1@Cent Arkansas190L85-83
1/3@North Alabama332W72-55
1/8Austin Peay166L82-71
1/10Lipscomb160L84-77
1/15Queens NC200L85-74
1/17West Georgia328W90-72
1/22@Austin Peay166L83-62
1/23@Lipscomb160L86-71
1/29North Alabama332W72-64
1/31@Jacksonville297W68-49
2/5@E Kentucky26650%
2/7@Bellarmine28854%
2/11North Florida34287%
2/14Stetson32082%
2/19Jacksonville29777%
2/21Cent Arkansas19055%
2/26@North Florida34271%
2/28@Stetson32064%