NCAA Tournament March Madness

#257 PFW

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

PFW’s profile makes clear why the surest path to the NCAA tournament is winning the Horizon League tournament. Their lone resume-building victory came at home against Chicago State and that is outweighed by damaging road defeats at Ohio State and Saint Louis along with additional losses away at Grand Canyon and Western Michigan that expose a lack of calm on the road. There are competitive moments, like the close outings at Utah and Western Michigan, and the remaining slate includes manageable home dates against Milwaukee, Green Bay, Cleveland State and IUPUI where the team can accumulate resume-friendly results, but those opportunities are tempered by a brutal trip to Notre Dame and a string of league road tests that could produce more damaging results. With no marquee nonconference win and several lopsided losses already on the résumé the committee will scrutinize, the most realistic route to the field for PFW runs through the conference tournament.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3@Grand Canyon103L90-71
11/7@Ohio St31L94-68
11/12@W Michigan236L83-71
11/18@Utah126L85-77
11/21@St Louis49L91-60
11/25Chicago St356W90-77
12/3@Oakland14219%
12/6N Kentucky20651%
12/10E Michigan19650%
12/14Detroit32975%
12/21@Notre Dame747%
12/29@WI Milwaukee21432%
1/1WI Green Bay27264%
1/4Cleveland St29969%
1/7@Youngstown St18427%
1/11@Robert Morris18027%
1/18WI Milwaukee21454%
1/21@Detroit32954%
1/25@IUPUI33958%
1/28Oakland14238%
1/31Robert Morris18048%
2/4Youngstown St18449%
2/7@Wright St14721%
2/12@WI Green Bay27242%
2/15IUPUI33978%
2/18@N Kentucky20630%
2/22@Cleveland St29948%
2/25Wright St14741%