NCAA Tournament March Madness

#54 UCF

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Projected seed: 10

The projection fits because UCF’s résumé blends eye-catching victories with damaging setbacks: the Knights have beaten Kansas and collected meaningful true road wins at Texas A&M, Kansas State, Utah and BYU while also closing out a tense neutral win over Cincinnati, yet their profile is undercut by lopsided defeats at Iowa State, Houston and Arizona and poor outcomes in the Oklahoma State matchups. The committee will reward the ability to win away from home and to beat a marquee conference opponent, but it will also hold those heavy losses and inconsistency against elite teams against them, so the clearest routes to rising are a deep run in the conference tournament or another signature road or neutral win to offset the bad losses.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/3Hofstra87W82-78
11/8Vanderbilt12L105-93
11/11Florida A&M312W97-60
11/14@Texas A&M39W86-74
11/17Oakland169W87-83
11/20(N)Pittsburgh94W77-67
11/25Quinnipiac219W102-91
11/29VMI360W82-57
12/7Towson157W86-61
12/17Mercer190W81-63
12/20FGCU244W102-80
12/23(N)FL Atlantic129W85-80
1/3Kansas21W81-75
1/6@Oklahoma St66L87-76
1/11Cincinnati44W73-72
1/14@Kansas St101W82-73
1/17Arizona2L84-77
1/20@Iowa St6L87-57
1/24@Colorado70W95-86
1/27Arizona St67W79-76
1/31Texas Tech20W88-80
2/4@Houston5L79-55
2/8@Cincinnati44L92-72
2/14West Virginia59L74-67
2/17TCU43W82-71
2/21@Utah126W73-71
2/24@BYU23W97-84
2/28Baylor49L87-86
3/3Oklahoma St66L111-104
3/6@West Virginia59L77-62
3/11(N)Cincinnati44W66-65
3/12(N)Arizona2L81-59