NCAA Tournament March Madness

#136 ETSU

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

ETSU’s resume reads like a team that can dominate lesser opponents but has suffered location-sensitive setbacks that a committee will weigh heavily. The staff will point to convincing wins over teams such as ULM, Morehead State, Central Arkansas and a road victory at Northern Kentucky as proof this roster can blow teams out and close games in midlevel scenarios, yet the damage from an upset loss at Presbyterian, a home setback to Jacksonville State, a tight defeat at Austin Peay and lopsided results at Dayton and at North Carolina undercut that case. The profile’s biggest path to safety runs through the league slate, where home games against Citadel, VMI and UNC Greensboro and road tests at Furman, Mercer, Chattanooga and Wofford are concrete chances to replace bad losses with quality outcomes; until those opportunities are seized, the résumé looks like a good offensive group with too many harmful nonconference and away blemishes to be judged firmly comfortable.

Date Opponent Ranking Outcome
11/8@Presbyterian292L68-64
11/12N Kentucky210W75-63
11/15@North Alabama266W78-74
11/21Morehead St310W77-62
11/23ULM358W97-55
11/29Cent Arkansas234W80-57
12/2@Dayton65L88-71
12/5South Alabama193W91-65
12/12@Austin Peay190L76-75
12/16@North Carolina21L77-58
12/20Jacksonville St240L81-75
12/31@Citadel35689%
1/3Mercer16467%
1/7VMI33092%
1/10UNC Greensboro28986%
1/14@W Carolina28369%
1/17@Samford24162%
1/21@Chattanooga23862%
1/24Citadel35696%
1/29W Carolina28385%
1/31@Wofford22560%
2/4Furman15466%
2/7@VMI33080%
2/11Chattanooga23881%
2/14Samford24181%
2/18@Furman15444%
2/21@UNC Greensboro28970%
2/25Wofford22579%
2/28@Mercer16446%