NCAA Tournament March Madness Bubble Watch: Loy Marymount

NCAA Tournament March Madness

#125 Loy Marymount

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Projection: need to automatically qualify

Loy Marymount’s résumé pairs a couple of meaningful road wins at UC Santa Barbara and UTEP and a string of comfortable home victories with a set of damaging setbacks, most notably a blowout at Gonzaga and a heavy loss to Saint Louis plus narrow defeats at Washington State and to Saint Mary’s, and that contrast is the key to its current standing. The schedule still hands it several clear chances to prove the résumé’s positive side — trips to Santa Clara and Oregon State and a home date with San Francisco are all opportunities to show the team can finish on the road and in neutral-like environments — and committee thinking will hinge on whether those follow-up results erase the memory of the ugly losses. Committees prize road and neutral success and penalize blowouts and subpar nonconference results, so Loy Marymount’s mix of signature wins and conspicuous defeats explains why its position is precarious and why the final stretch matters so much.

Date	Opponent	Ranking	Outcome
11/5	E Washington	248	W70-62
11/8	Ark Pine Bluff	320	W94-72
11/11	@UTEP	262	W71-58
11/14	Troy	135	W74-63
11/17	@UC Santa Barbara	165	W78-74
11/24	(N)FL Atlantic	105	L76-65
11/25	(N)Ohio	187	W70-58
11/28	Stony Brook	255	L71-68
12/2	St Louis	39	L91-70
12/16	UC San Diego	93	L67-57
12/19	North Alabama	298	W91-57
12/23	Morgan St	361	W83-56
12/28	St Mary's CA	28	L78-73
12/30	Pacific	129	W80-71
1/2	@Washington St	153	L78-76
1/4	@Gonzaga	5	L82-47
1/8	San Francisco	100	54%
1/10	@Santa Clara	55	18%
1/14	@Oregon St	223	60%
1/17	Portland	230	80%
1/21	@Seattle	111	34%
1/28	Oregon St	223	79%
1/31	Santa Clara	55	36%
2/3	@San Francisco	100	32%
2/7	San Diego	215	79%
2/11	@Pacific	129	40%
2/14	@Pepperdine	253	67%
2/21	@San Diego	215	59%
2/25	Washington St	153	69%
2/28	Seattle	111	56%